'No' Wave? Ed Morrissey was right--Sen. Hutchison has now come outagainst cloture. So have Crapo and Roberts and Sununu, apparently. I've removed them from the list below. ... Cornyn's a "no" too. ... P.S.: Hatch, Coleman, Alexander, Bingaman, Webb still undecided. ... 2:43 P.M.
Kate O'Beirne has what appears to be an up-to-date list of key GOPs uncommitted on the cloture vote:
Richard Burr (N.C.), Lamar Alexander (Tenn.), Kit Bond (Mo.) ... Gordon Smith (Ore.), Thad Cochran (Miss.), .... Norm Coleman (Min.), ... Orrin Hatch (Utah), and Bob Bennett (Utah). [E.A.] [Update: Crapo, Hutchison, Roberts and Sununu have been replaced by ellipses. They say they'll vote against cloture.]
She notes it is an "uphill" fight for opponents, but if I read the Noam Askew cloture list right it's doable (barely). I've highlighted the Senators who are up for reelection in 2008. The longer the process is delayed, the more polls emerge demonstrating the bill's unpopularity. (Here's Zogby's. It's Zogby. And it's "Interactive." But it confirms what Rasmussen and then NBC/WSJ and Greenberg/Carville found.) ...
P.P.S.: But why focus only on Republicans? Not many Dem Senators relish being on the short side of a 50-25 issue either. Here are some Democrats worth lobbying who voted against cloture earlier this month:
Baucus (Mt.); Bingaman (N.M.); Boxer (Calif.); Pryor (Ark.);
Nor does it seem out of the question that some Democrats who recently voted for cloture--especially the ones who are up for reelection--might find an outpouring of popular opposition to the bill especially persuasive. Here are some of them:
Conrad (N.D.); Levin (Mich.); Nelson (Ne.); Reed (R.I.).
I remember when Levin's Congressman brother Sander, a vigorous opponent of the 1996 welfare reform, voted for the bill. He didn't want to lose his seat for a lost cause. ... Update: Note that Conrad is lumped with Dorgan as having "problems" with the bill here. ...
P.P.P.S.: Plus of course the Netrootsy Three: McCaskill (Mo.), Tester (Mont.) and Webb(Va.). The voted against cloture last time. ... And don't forget Sherrod Brown (Ohio), who un-Dobbsishly voted in favor. ...