New West Notes' Bill Bradley:
** That big Democratic wave predicted across America and through California? Not happening here. Most of the statewide Democratic candidates are in trouble.
Arnold Schwarzenegger has a giant 17-point lead over his Democratic opponent, Phil Angelides, in the upcoming LAT poll. This comes after Angelides ran lots of TV ads linking Schwarzenegger to President Bush and the Iraq War. ... 3:30 P.M.
Eric Alterman clarifies his paranoia about the mighty Rove Attack Machine:
In thinking about it, the "flip-flop" argument works against senators but not governors, because it's so easy to misportray parliamentary votes as something they are not. So Obama should run now before he's got a bunch of votes to misportray. That's why it was harder to Clinton and would be harder to do to [Ed] Rendell (and maybe Mark Warner).
Response: a) Just because in 2004 Rove destroyed one of the epic, legendary flip-floppers and straddlers of our political era doesn't mean he can destroy anyone; b) Obama would be less susceptible to the flip-flop charge if he stopped flip-flopping (for example, his vote against the border fence before he was for it). ... 3:10 P.M.
Read this RCP interview with John McCain and tell me if he's saying what I suspect he's saying--that he's ready to put off the semi-amnesty part of his "comprehensive" reform for a couple of years, until after the fence and other border measures are in place--and, conveniently, until after he's run for President in the amnesty-unfriendly Republican primaries. .. 3:16 A.M.
The Bitter Price of Cocooning!
Readers who wanted to know what was actually happening would have been much better off reading Captain Ed.
P.S.: Hillary did the traditional, sleazy Kabuki Straddle: On the final passage of the fence bill--the for-show vote-- she voted "Yes." But on the cloture motion--the one that really determined the fate of the bill--she voted "No." Will anyone be fooled? ... Update:Obama straddled too, notes the Wash Times [via Powerline]. He's a breath of fresh air, isn't he?
TODAY IN SLATE
Black people’s disdain for “proper English” and academic achievement is a myth.
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A Jaw-Dropping Political Ad Aimed at Young Women, Apparently
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On their new albums, Leonard Cohen, Robert Plant, and Loudon Wainwright III show three ways.