Late polls show the Dem "wave" getting smaller.

A mostly political Weblog.
Nov. 6 2006 1:10 AM

Surf's Down?

Late polls show the Dem "wave" shrinking.

Professor Franklin now seems under-impressed with the three polls showing a Dem downturn. 10:40 P.M.

Andrew Sullivan  says

The Democrats, in a divided government, will also have to take responsibility for the hard choices involved in wartime.

Does he really believe this? Are the House and Senate Democrats going to sign on to a new post-election strategy in Iraq after having just succeeded by sitting on the sidelines and opposing? I don't think so. ... P.S.: Sullivan also declares

One party hegemony produces corruption and unaccountability.

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Isn't it unified government that tends to produce accountability by lodging responsibility with one party. Thanks to unified government, we know which party is responsible for the Iraq war. If the voters don't like the war, which appears to be the case, they can effectively punish the Republicans.. ...   Divided governments--to the extent that they actually result in shared responsibility--also diffuse accountability. You don't know which party to blame. ... P.P.S.: Even if the Democrats take Congress, I don't think voters in 2008 will have much trouble figuring out whom to blame for Iraq, but that's only because I don't think the Democrats will really share responsibility. ... P.P.P.S.: And if the Democrats really do gain a solid hold on Congress, and the Republicans nominate, say, Dick Cheney or John Ashcroft for president, don't you think Sullivan may suddenly rediscover the virtues of unified government?

Extra credit: Sullivan is a) displaying the wishful-thinking tendency that led him to become a bullying proponent of the war in the first place; b) demonstrating the any-weapon-to-hand argument style that so endeared him to his subordinates at The New Republic;c) riven by doubt, as usual. ... 10:05 P.M.

Good News for John Kerry!  Pollster.com's Charles Franklin says

 the wave boosting the Democrats crested about 10 days ago.

Franklin said this before today's trio of polls showing the race tightening, notes Influence Peddler. ... Is it all John Kerry's fault? Ten days ago was Thursday, Oct. 26.--but Kerry's comments didn't come until four days later. That means the Dems had started downhill before Kerry even opened his mouth. ... P.S.--Musil and Maguire, Getting Higher:Man Without Qualities, who also saw a Dem slide before it became official, surfs the anti-wave further than I would.  ...  See also Maguire. ... P.P.S.: Maguire unsuccessfully  tries to come up with an anti-Pelosi bumper sticker. How about "Alcee, Amnesty, and Abortion"? ...  7:04 P.M.

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