"Part of the problem is they were having pops of good news in the last few months, but it seemed like they were happening in a vacuum," said Dan Senor, a former administration spokesman in Iraq ... "Josh's organizational intensity and attention to detail helps the White House better capitalize on these individual pops of good news, and that's what you need to build momentum."
'Capitalizing on good news' to 'build momentum' is the sort of thing that should show up in the polls, no? Expect the CW on Bolten to flip soon. ... Everyone's already written their source-greasers, right? ... 1:16 P.M.
Thursday, July 6, 2006
Michael Barone citesthree developments that "point toward a possible [immigration] compromise that could conceivably be adopted":**
1) Rep. Chris Cannon won his GOP primary against an anti-legalization candidate.
2) Arlen Specter conceded the Senate might go for a bill that "made guest-worker and legalization programs contingent on concrete achievements in border security." Movement!
3) Pence met with Bush to promote his 'compromise' plan, which would let illegals already here apply for guest worker status by briefly returning to their home countries.
1) Cannon didn't win by campaigning for a compassionate, Bush-style legalization approach. He won by giving the (false) impression he opposed a compassionate Bush-style approach. (""Give me your tired, your poor, your huddled masses yearning to breathe free." Male announcer: "But Congressman Chris Cannon says only if they come here legally.'") Are all GOP House members confident they can pull off a similar con?
2) Is it an auspicious sign for Bush's "comprehensive" approach that he and the Senate are moving away from it? Or is it maybe a too-little-too-late admission of weakness familiar to those who watched Bush's breathlessly-described legislative "strategy" during the Social Security fight, with Pence playing the role of Pozen? The only substantive concession from the House side seems to be the failure of the GOP leaders Hastert and Boehner to "dismiss the idea." (P.S.: The problem with requiring "concrete achievements," of course, is that the legislative promise of later legalization will itself attract more immigrants and make any enforcement "trigger" hard to achieve--unless it's meaningless to begin with. If you want to be in a position legalize existing illegals in the future. I'd argue, you have to kill the legalization idea in the present.)
3)The Pence Plan is a scam. It rewards those who entered the U.S. illegally by letting them arrange for their employers to in effect earmark guest-worker slots for them.
P.S.:Influence Peddler--and the Roll Call articles quoted there--offer a clearer idea than either Barone or the NYT of what a relatively pro-Bush compromise might look like.
**--If the final immigration compromise has as many outs as this Barone sentence, it will be a brilliant piece of legislative indecision. I count four contingency-covering fudge-phrases: "point toward," "possible," "could," and "conceivably." ... kf says: It's possible the Senate could conceivably cave to the House and pass an uncomprehensive bill containing no legalization provisions for already-here illegals at all. The President could conceivably sign this possible bill. Several factors point toward it! 3:00 A.M.
Dem House Fundraising Dips After New York Nuclear Holocaust: ABC's The Note asks, of the North Korean missile launches--
8. Will this impact fundraising or advertising for 2006? ...