The Oscars may be less consequential than presidential elections, but it’s another opportunity to gamble for predictive bragging rights. Some, such as the Huffington Post’s David Rothschild, have adopted a data-driven, Nate Silver-esque approach, while others simply seem to combine their personal preferences with nebulous theories of the film industry. Now that the Oscars are over, who made all the wrong calls, and who should be condemned for witchcraft?

In the dartboard above, each dart represents the percentage of correct Oscar calls a commentator made out of 11 categories: Best Picture, Best Actor, Best Actress, Best Director, Best Supporting Actor, Best Supporting Actress, Best Adapted Screenplay, Best Original Screenplay, Best Animated Feature Film, Best Documentary Feature, and Best Cinematography. Red darts represent Slate writers, while blue darts represent writers from other publications. Hover over each dart to learn more.

Correction, Feb. 25: Due to a bug in this feature, the scores of some predictions that correctly predicted Searching for Sugar Man would win Best Documentary were off by 9 percentage points. The bug has since been resolved.