Steady Sully Watch: Bad Iraq Day at AndrewSullivan.com--
It's still winnable, but the odds are against us. [Emph. added]
Here's Sullivan on Chris Matthews' show in January:
I'm a complete optimist about this. I think it'll--I think it'll work. [Emph. Added]
He's our Oscillating Orwell! ... P.S.:At an L.A. appearance last week, Christopher Hitchens, declared that "of course" the anticoalition forces would be defeated. So there appears to be an intra-Orwells schism on this issue. For the moment. Tomorrow is always another day at andrewsullivan.com. ... [And what do you think?-ed Fair question. I don't know any more than Sullivan--I assume I know less--but based on what I've seen and heard "odds are against us" seems too pessimistic. Greg Djerejian--who prompted Sullivan's "odds" remark with an extended attack on Cheney's "last throes" comment and other overly rosy predictions--says he's "still cautiously optimistic we will prevail in this war." The balance of news since Sullivan's January "complete" optimism--some of it positive (elections and ongoing political accommodation), some negative (continued attacks, varyingly grim press reports about the current effectiveness of the newly-trained Iraqi forces here and here)--doesn't seem to justify the big downward opinion swing registered in either the polls or on Sullivan.com.]10:57 A.M. link
Jon Klein Rule #1: Make Jon Klein Look Good! Harry Shearer on the silliness of CNN chief Jonathan Klein's latest goo-goo pleasing pronouncement. ... (Klein said "we should have just covered the beginning and the end" of the Michael Jackson trial. Why not cover the evidence as it developed? Because that would be ... storytelling!) 1:38 A.M. link
Quayling Kerry? Many Democratic friends have assured me that John Kerry--whether he knows it or not--won't be a candidate for president in 2008. Lack of fundraising support will force him to drop out before then, according to this theory, just as it forced Dan Quayle to drop out the year before the 2000 primaries. But something's changed since 1999--namely the ability of candidates to raise money in small chunks over the Internet. If Kerry can raise enough Web cash early enough, he won't care if the big donors don't want him. Perhaps that explains why I seem to get a Kerry Internet fundraising appeal every other day. (It's actually about every other week.) Kerry's permanent campaign is a way to keep on raising money while he still has Web celebrity value, before his rivals declare. Then nobody will be able to Quayle him. ... 1:18 A.M. link
Jill Stewart, the exact last person in the world the LAT will hire to write their editorials--they'll let their readers do it first!--writes a good one, attempting to educate California voters who still seem to believe that a) California is near 'the bottom' in school funding, and b) the main issue in education is whether we pour more or less money into it. Neoliberalism has yet to reach Sacramento, in many ways. That is what Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger is up against if he calls for a special election on his budget initiative. ... 11:40 P.M. link
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