Where the midterm elections stand today.

Where the elections stand today.
Oct. 23 2006 6:55 PM

Election Scorecard

Where the midterm elections stand today.

The Senate link.
The House link
Governors

Who will win the most hotly contested races for governor? The numbers below tell the story based on averages of the most recent polls in each state. The "momentum shift" arrow for each race indicates statistically meaningful trends in recent polls. How did we get these numbers?

Governors' Race Summary for Nov. 6:
Much has changed since our last governors' update two weeks ago. The two races that had been the closest—in Iowa and Oregon—now show the Democratic candidates leading by statistically meaningful margins. And two races that had looked like potential blowouts are now too close to call.

In Alaska, Democrat Tony Knowles has narrowed the lead of Republican Sarah Palin to three points (44.5 percent to 41.5 percent), just close enough to rate tossup status. A month ago, Palin had a 10-point lead on our last-five-poll average.

And in Maryland (not listed below), Democratic challenger Martin O'Malley has seen his lead over Republican Gov. Bob Ehrlich on our last-five-poll average fall from eight points three weeks ago to just 1.8 points today (47.8 percent to 46 percent). The last three polls show O'Malley either leading by a single point (SurveyUSA and Rasmussen Reports) or tied (Mason-Dixon).

Advertisement

Click  here  for an archive of Governor Race Summaries.

1_123125_2106526_2148609_2148610_2148673_keygovernors_01

Key to graphics.
1_123125_2106526_2148609_2148610_2148673_keypollsterline_372

Key:

.

Mark Blumenthal is a Democratic pollster and the editor and publisher of Pollster.com, the new home of his blog MysteryPollster.

Charles Franklin is a professor of political science at the University of Wisconsin, author of the blogPolitical Arithmetik, and a co-developer and contributor to Pollster.com. For comments and questions, please write to electionscorecard@gmail.com.

TODAY IN SLATE

Politics

Don’t Worry, Obama Isn’t Sending U.S. Troops to Fight ISIS

But the next president might. 

IOS 8 Comes Out Today. Do Not Put It on Your iPhone 4S.

Why Greenland’s “Dark Snow” Should Worry You

How Much Should You Loathe NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell?

Here are the facts.

Three Talented Actresses in Three Terrible New Shows

Science

The Human Need to Find Connections in Everything

It’s the source of creativity and delusions. It can harm us more than it helps us.

Foreigners

More Than Scottish Pride

Scotland’s referendum isn’t about nationalism. It’s about a system that failed, and a new generation looking to take a chance on itself. 

The Ungodly Horror of Having a Bug Crawl Into Your Ear and Scratch Away at Your Eardrum

My Father Was James Brown. I Watched Him Beat My Mother. Then I Married Someone Like Him.

  News & Politics
Politics
Sept. 17 2014 5:21 PM Don’t Worry, Obama Isn’t Sending U.S. Troops to Fight ISIS But the next president might. 
  Business
Business Insider
Sept. 17 2014 1:36 PM Nate Silver Versus Princeton Professor: Who Has the Right Models?
  Life
Gentleman Scholar
Sept. 17 2014 5:10 PM Should Men Still Open Doors for Women? Or is it ungentlemanly to do so at all?  
  Double X
The XX Factor
Sept. 17 2014 4:36 PM Is Nonfiction the Patriarch of Literary Genres?
  Slate Plus
Slate Fare
Sept. 17 2014 9:37 AM Is Slate Too Liberal?  A members-only open thread.
  Arts
Brow Beat
Sept. 17 2014 5:31 PM Did You Catch Walter White’s Blink-and-You’ll-Miss-It Cameo in Godzilla?
  Technology
Future Tense
Sept. 17 2014 5:26 PM If Fixing Global Warming Is Free, What’s the Holdup?
  Health & Science
Jurisprudence
Sept. 17 2014 4:49 PM Schooling the Supreme Court on Rap Music Is it art or a true threat of violence?
  Sports
Sports Nut
Sept. 17 2014 3:51 PM NFL Jerk Watch: Roger Goodell How much should you loathe the pro football commissioner?