The Hillary Deathwatch

Down and on the way out.
May 21 2008 1:06 AM

The Hillary Deathwatch

The Hillary Deathwatch is now a widget. Add it to your Facebook page or blog.

With Tuesday's contests in Kentucky and Oregon, Barack Obama seizes a majority of pledged delegates. April fundraising numbers show Obama still leads in the money race. And key figures ditch Hillary. Obama now needs about 70 delegates to attain the "magic number" of 2025, so we're dropping Clinton's chances 0.9 points to 0.7 percent. For every 10 delegates Obama wins, Clinton will drop another 0.1 until … let's just say she'll need a snorkel.

Obama did not declare victory Tuesday night, but he came about as close as one can get. "You have put us within reach of the Democratic nomination for president of the United States," he told a Des Moines, Iowa, crowd. He needed only 17 pledged delegates to secure a majority. In Kentucky, it looks like he won about 14; in Oregon, about 30.

Plus, winning the majority of pledged delegates comes with a bonus: superdelegates. DemConWatch keeps track of members of the so-called "Pelosi Club"—superdelegates who have said they would support the winner of the pledged delegate count. If they keep their word and vote for Obama, he'll gain seven supers, including Madame Speaker, and Clinton will lose one.

The question now is, how long will it take Barack Obama to win the remaining 70 delegates? Superdelegates could decide to endorse him en masse Wednesday. But chances are they'll wait for the contests to finish. The remaining primaries hold a total of 86 pledged delegates. Even if Obama gets only half of those, he'll need only about one-quarter of the 179 remaining uncommitted superdelegates to hit 2,025.

Advertisement

Both campaigns announced their April fundraising hauls Tuesday night. Clinton raked in an impressive $22 million—people really are going to HillaryClinton.com, aren't they?—but Obama topped it with $31.3 million.

Meanwhile, key figures continue to abandon Clinton. Sen. Robert Byrd of West Virginia, who took Clinton under his wing when she joined the Senate (after leading the charge against her health care plan in the '90s, of course), endorsed Obama yesterday. Another loyalist, former Deputy Treasury Secretary Roger Altman, reportedly urged Clinton to drop out.

For a full list of our Deathwatches, click here. For a primer on Hillary's sinking ship, visit our first Deathwatch entry. Send your own prognostications to hillarydeathwatch@gmail.com.

TODAY IN SLATE

Frame Game

Hard Knocks

I was hit by a teacher in an East Texas public school. It taught me nothing.

Republicans Like Scott Walker Are Building Campaigns Around Problems That Don’t Exist

Why Greenland’s “Dark Snow” Should Worry You

If You’re Outraged by the NFL, Follow This Satirical Blowhard on Twitter

The Best Way to Organize Your Fridge

The World

Iran and the U.S. Are Allies

They’re just not ready to admit it yet.

Sports Nut

Giving Up on Goodell

How the NFL lost the trust of its most loyal reporters.

Chief Justice John Roberts Says $1,000 Can’t Buy Influence in Congress. Looks Like He’s Wrong.

Farewell! Emily Bazelon on What She Will Miss About Slate.

  News & Politics
Politics
Sept. 16 2014 2:11 PM Spare the Rod What Charles Barkley gets wrong about corporal punishment and black culture.
  Business
Moneybox
Sept. 16 2014 2:35 PM Germany’s Nationwide Ban on Uber Lasted All of Two Weeks
  Life
The Eye
Sept. 16 2014 12:20 PM These Outdoor Cat Shelters Have More Style Than the Average Home
  Double X
The XX Factor
Sept. 15 2014 3:31 PM My Year As an Abortion Doula
  Slate Plus
Slate Plus Video
Sept. 16 2014 2:06 PM A Farewell From Emily Bazelon The former senior editor talks about her very first Slate pitch and says goodbye to the magazine.
  Arts
Brow Beat
Sept. 16 2014 1:27 PM The Veronica Mars Spinoff Is Just Amusing Enough to Keep Me Watching
  Technology
Future Tense
Sept. 16 2014 1:48 PM Why We Need a Federal Robotics Commission
  Health & Science
Science
Sept. 16 2014 1:39 PM The Case of the Missing Cerebellum How did a Chinese woman live 24 years missing part of her brain?
  Sports
Sports Nut
Sept. 15 2014 9:05 PM Giving Up on Goodell How the NFL lost the trust of its most loyal reporters.