Was that a light stand making that sickening "thud" in the background--or was it Nate Silver's aura of infallibility crashing to the ground ? Where is your Taraji P. Henson now , Mr. Right-to-the-Last-Decimal? Ha ha ha. You are one of us now. ... Recommended: Rob Long's twitter commentary . Not for the Denby-minded! ... Also the authoritative Kim Masters . ... And XX . ... And darlakbrown . ...and scottimmergut. ... Update: Silver actually missed two out of six. (His "logistic regression" also favored Mickey Rourke.) The categories he picked in were not tough ones (e.g., Heath Ledger). Back to baseball for you! ... 6:11 P.M.