The results are in: Slate readers fail miserably in predicting the date of Tony Hayward's downfall.

Slate readers predict the future.
July 28 2010 6:40 PM

When Will BP's CEO Lose His Job?

The results are in: Slate readers fail miserably in predicting the date of Tony Hayward's downfall.

UPDATE, July 28: On July 27, BP announced that Tony Hayward would be stepping down on Oct. 1. So when, exactly, did or will he "lose his job," which is how we asked the question? And how did Slate readers do in predicting his departure? The short answer: Not so good. The mean response was Aug. 29—off by more than a month no matter how you measure it—and the median was Aug. 16, only a few weeks after the announcement but  more than  six weeks before his scheduled departure. On the bright side, 47 of you said he would lose his job on July 27, while 58 predicted he would lose it on Oct. 1. Let's call you both half-right.

The phrase "embattled CEO" may have been invented for Tony Hayward, who currently holds that title at BP. Hayward has said he will not resign, and Slate's Daniel Gross makes the case that it's not in BP's interest to fire him. Still, when you're in charge of the corporation responsible for the largest oil spill in history, it's probably only a matter of time before you lose your job. Which lead us to ask the question: When will Tony Hayward lose his?

This poll has now closed. See the results below, and please check out our other polls.

TODAY IN SLATE

Medical Examiner

The Most Terrifying Thing About Ebola 

The disease threatens humanity by preying on humanity.

I Bought the Huge iPhone. I’m Already Thinking of Returning It.

Scotland Is Just the Beginning. Expect More Political Earthquakes in Europe.

Students Aren’t Going to College Football Games as Much Anymore

And schools are getting worried.

Two Damn Good, Very Different Movies About Soldiers Returning From War

The XX Factor

Lifetime Didn’t Think the Steubenville Rape Case Was Dramatic Enough

So they added a little self-immolation.

Politics

Blacks Don’t Have a Corporal Punishment Problem

Americans do. But when blacks exhibit the same behaviors as others, it becomes part of a greater black pathology. 

Why a Sketch of Chelsea Manning Is Stirring Up Controversy

How Worried Should Poland, the Baltic States, and Georgia Be About a Russian Invasion?

Trending News Channel
Sept. 19 2014 1:11 PM Watch Flashes of Lightning Created in a Lab  
  News & Politics
Weigel
Sept. 20 2014 11:13 AM -30-
  Business
Business Insider
Sept. 20 2014 6:30 AM The Man Making Bill Gates Richer
  Life
Quora
Sept. 20 2014 7:27 AM How Do Plants Grow Aboard the International Space Station?
  Double X
The XX Factor
Sept. 19 2014 4:58 PM Steubenville Gets the Lifetime Treatment (And a Cheerleader Erupts Into Flames)
  Slate Plus
Slate Picks
Sept. 19 2014 12:00 PM What Happened at Slate This Week? The Slatest editor tells us to read well-informed skepticism, media criticism, and more.
  Arts
Brow Beat
Sept. 20 2014 3:21 PM “The More You Know (About Black People)” Uses Very Funny PSAs to Condemn Black Stereotypes
  Technology
Future Tense
Sept. 19 2014 6:31 PM The One Big Problem With the Enormous New iPhone
  Health & Science
Bad Astronomy
Sept. 20 2014 7:00 AM The Shaggy Sun
  Sports
Sports Nut
Sept. 18 2014 11:42 AM Grandmaster Clash One of the most amazing feats in chess history just happened, and no one noticed.