The Slate Poll: Slate readers get it right on Elena Kagan's confirmation vote.

Slate readers predict the future.
Aug. 5 2010 4:21 PM

How Many Votes Will Elena Kagan Get?

Slate readers get it right on Elena Kagan's confirmation vote.

UPDATE, Aug. 5: The Senate voted 63-37 to confirm Elena Kagan to the Supreme Court, with five Republicans supporting her and Democrat Ben Nelson voting no. Among Slate readers, the most popular prediction was 65 votes, while the average of the 7,625 predictions was 63.4 votes. The median—the prediction with an equal number below and above it—was 63. But no matter how you run the numbers, Slate readers were very close in their predictions.

Elena Kagan's confirmation hearings before the 19-member Senate judiciary committee ended Thursday, and the  relevant senators  have pledged that the full Senate will vote on her nomination to the Supreme Court before it leaves town in August. With 57 Democrats, 41 Republicans, and two Independents in the Senate, how many votes will Kagan get?

This poll has now closed. See the results below, and please check outour  other polls.

TODAY IN SLATE

The World

How Canada’s Shooting Tragedies Have Shaped Its Gun Control Politics

Where Ebola Lives Between Outbreaks

Gunman Killed Inside Canadian Parliament; Soldier Shot at National Monument Dies

Sleater-Kinney Was Once America’s Best Rock Band

Can it be again?

Paul Farmer: Up to 90 Percent of Ebola Patients Should Survive

Is he right?

Science

“I’m Not a Scientist” Is No Excuse

Politicians brag about their ignorance while making ignorant decisions.

Technology

Driving in Circles

The autonomous Google car may never actually happen.

In Praise of 13th Grade: Why a Fifth Year of High School Is a Great Idea 

PowerPoint Is the Worst, and Now It’s the Latest Way to Hack Into Your Computer

  News & Politics
Politics
Oct. 22 2014 9:42 PM Landslide Landrieu Can the Louisiana Democrat use the powers of incumbency to save herself one more time?
  Business
Continuously Operating
Oct. 22 2014 2:38 PM Crack Open an Old One A highly unscientific evaluation of Germany’s oldest breweries.
  Life
Gentleman Scholar
Oct. 22 2014 5:54 PM May I Offer to Sharpen My Friends’ Knives? Or would that be rude?
  Double X
The XX Factor
Oct. 22 2014 4:27 PM Three Ways Your Text Messages Change After You Get Married
  Slate Plus
Tv Club
Oct. 22 2014 5:27 PM The Slate Walking Dead Podcast A spoiler-filled discussion of Episodes 1 and 2.
  Arts
Brow Beat
Oct. 22 2014 9:19 PM The Phone Call Is Twenty Minutes of Pitch-Perfect, Wrenching Cinema
  Technology
Future Tense
Oct. 22 2014 5:33 PM One More Reason Not to Use PowerPoint: It’s The Gateway for a Serious Windows Vulnerability
  Health & Science
Wild Things
Oct. 22 2014 2:42 PM Orcas, Via Drone, for the First Time Ever
  Sports
Sports Nut
Oct. 20 2014 5:09 PM Keepaway, on Three. Ready—Break! On his record-breaking touchdown pass, Peyton Manning couldn’t even leave the celebration to chance.