You vs. the Pundits
With a month to go before the election, how do Slate readers' political predictions compare with the pros?
Posted Monday, Oct. 4, 2010, at 8:54 PM
Slate readers say: Harry Reid (D) 79 percent, Sharron Angle (R) 21 percent. Forty-nine percent of picks are locked.
Pundits say:Tossup (Sabato, CQ, Rothenberg, Cook).
Lean/Lock players have been generally skeptical of Tea Party candidates, and this race is no exception. Angle is perceived as one of the Tea Party's weakest candidates, but Reid must defend his incumbency while Nevada faces the nation's highest unemployment rate, one of the reasons that forecasters still consider the race a major tossup. The uncertainty among the professionals hasn't stopped Lean/Lock players, however, from favoring the Senate majority leader by a huge margin.
Chris Wilson is a Slate contributor.