Where the midterm elections stand today.

Where the midterm elections stand today.

Where the midterm elections stand today.

Where the elections stand today.
Oct. 17 2006 6:25 PM

Election Scorecard

Where the midterm elections stand today.

The Senate link.
The House
Governors link

House Race Summary for Oct. 17:

Since our last summary, we have changed from talking about the generic ballot to a more precise look at what's happening in contested races. Below is a list of the 63 hottest House races. Click on an individual race to jump to the most recent polling, or scroll down the page to see how all the competitive races have been shaping up. (Click herefor an archive of House Race Summaries based on our previous generic House ballot.)

One of the challenges of using polling data from individual races is that public polls are plentiful in a small handful of competitive districts and rare in most others. For example, the majority of the most closely watched races have been polled only two or three times since late August. So, we have nowhere near as much data for House races as we do for closely contested Senate and governor races.

We do see some clear leaders. Keeping in mind that Democrats need to gain 16 seats to win control of the House, we looked closely at the most hotly contested seats currently held by Republicans. We looked only at nonpartisan surveys conducted since late August.  In districts that have been polled at least twice, we see Democrats leading beyond the margin of error in nine districts: Arizona-8, Colorado-7, Indiana-2, Indiana-8, Indiana-9, North Carolina-11, New Mexico-1New York-26, and Pennsylvania-10.

Democrats also hold significant leads in three more districts that have been polled only once by nonpartisans since the summer: Florida-16, New York-24, and Ohio-15.

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That would make a total pickup of 13 seats, but Democratic gains could be much greater if present trends continue. At least a dozen hotly contested seats currently held by Republicans look too close to call based on the available data, and no Republican leads by a significant margin in any district currently held by a Democrat.


Data provided by Pollster.com

pollster.com

 

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Congressional District: Arizona 1
Incumbent: Rick Renzi-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Ellen Simon (D)

Rick Renzi (R)*

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

983 LV

3.09

10/8-10/06

5046

Northern Arizona U

403 LV

5

9/15-17/06

3245

Congressional District: Arizona 5
Incumbent: J.D. Hayworth-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Harry Mitchell (D)

J.D. Hayworth (R)*

SurveyUSA

509 LV

4.4

10/13-15/06

45

48

Public Opinion Strategies (R)

400 LV

4.9

(9/28/06)

38

52

SurveyUSA

590 LV

4.1

9/15-17/06

40

52

Public Opinion Strategies (R)

400 LV

4.0

6/6-10/06

34

49

Congressional District: Arizona 8
Open Race—R (Jim Kolbe)

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Gabrielle Giffords (D)

Randy Graf (R)

Zogby

500 LV

4.5

9/25-10/2/06

4537

Wick Communications

402 RV

4.3

9/20-23/06

5234

Bennett, Petts, and Blumenthal (D)

400 LV

4.9

9/19-21/06

5429

Arizona Daily Star

600 LV

4

9/16-19/06

48.4

35.7

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Congressional District: California 4
Incumbent: John Doolittle-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Charles Brown (D)

John Doolittle (R)*

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

997 LV

3.09

10/8-10/06

4452

Benenson Strategy Group (D)

400 LV

4.9

8/29-31/06

3941

Congressional District: California 11
Incumbent: Richard Pombo-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesJerry McNerny (D)Richard Pompo (R)*

Lake Research Partners (D)

400LV

4.4

9/28-30/06

40

41

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D)

413LV

4.9

9/24-26/06

48

46

Lake Research Partners (D)

500LV

4.4

7/9-11/06

33

43

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Congressional District: California 50
Incumbent: Brian Bilbray-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Francine Busby (D)

Brian Bilbray (R)*

SurveyUSA581 LV4.110/13-15/064649

SurveyUSA

540 LV

4.3

9/10-12/06

4054

SurveyUSA

566 LV

4.2

7/9-11/06

4051

Congressional District: Colorado 4
Incumbent: Marilyn Musgrave-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Angie Paccione (D)

Marilyn Musgrave (R)*

Mason-Dixon

400 LV

5

10/3-7/06

3646

Conquest Communications (R)

400 LV

5

9/26-27/06

3643

Strategic Services (D)

400 LV

4.9

9/24-26/06

4242

SurveyUSA

424LV

4.9

9/18-20/06

4246

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

996 LV

3.1

8/27-29/06

4147

SurveyUSA

452 LV

4.7

8/13-15/06

4246

Strategic Services (D)

600 LV

4

5/31-6/5/06

4647

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Congressional District: Colorado 5
Open Race—R (Joel Hefley)

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesJay Fawcett (D)Doug Lamborn (R)

Basswood Research (R)

300 LV

5.66

10/10/06

32

49

Mason-Dixon

400LV

5

10/3-7/06

37

37

Congressional District: Colorado 7
Open Race—R (Bob Beauprez)

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesEd Perlmutter (D)Rick O'Donnell (R)

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

991 LV

3.09

10/8-10/06

47

47

Mason-Dixon

400 LV

510/3-7/06

45

39
Zogby500 LV4.5

9/25-10/2/06

4534
SurveyUSA482 LV

4.5

9/21-25/06

5437

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1014 LV

3.1

8/27-29/06

4846

SurveyUSA

535 LV

4.3

8/18-20/06

4545

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Congressional District: Connecticut 2
Incumbent: Rob Simmons-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesJohn Courtney (D)Rob Simmons (R)*

Zogby

500 LV

4.5

9/25-10/2/06

4144

Public Opinion Strategies (R)

400 LV

5

9/24-25/06

3650

Grove Insight (D)

400 LV

5

8/28-30/06

4140

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1010 LV

3.1

8/27-29/06

5145

Congressional District: Connecticut 4
Incumbent: Christopher Shays-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesDiane Farrell (D)Christopher Shays (R)*
Bennett, Petts, and Blumenthal400 RV4.910/10-12/064441

Zogby

500 LV

4.5

9/25-10/2/06

46

46

University of Connecticut

753 RV

3

9/25-10/1/06

4141

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1011 LV

3.1

8/27-29/06

4242

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Congressional District: Connecticut 5
Incumbent: Nancy Johnson-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesChris Murphy (D)Nancy Johnson (R)*
Grove Insight400 RV510/12/064540

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

996 LV

3.09

10/8-10/06

46

52

American Viewpoint (R)

400 LV

4.9

10/1-2/06

4252

Westhill Consulting (D)

500 RV

4.4

9/25-27/06

4242

American Viewpoint (R)

400 LV

4.9

9/5-6/06

3650

Democracy Corps (D)

650 LV

4

8/13-15/06

4449

Central Marketing (D)

600 LV

4

6/11-13/06

3835

Congressional District: Florida 13
Open Race—R (Katherine Harris)

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Christine Jennings (D)

Vern Buchanan (R)

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1024 LV

3.07

10/8-10/06

4744

Hamilton Beattie & Staff (D)

400 RV

4.9

10/3-4/06

5038

Hamilton Beattie & Staff (D)

500 RV

4.4

9/8-12/06

4638

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Congressional District: Florida 16
Open Race—R (Mark Foley**)

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Tim Mahoney (D)

Mark Foley (R)**

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1001 LV

3.09

10/1/06

5043

Hamilton Beattie & Staff (D)

400 LV

4.9

9/14/06

4835

Hamilton Beattie & Staff (D)

400 LV

4.4

6/5/06

3359

**Mark Foley's name will appear on the ballot despite his resignation from Congress. Votes cast for Foley will count toward Joe Negron.

Congressional District: Florida 22
Incumbent: Clay Shaw-R

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Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Ron Klein (D)

Clay Shaw (R)*

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1022 LV

3.1

8/27-29/06

4452

Congressional District: Georgia 8
Incumbent: Jim Marshall-D

Polling data that tests a contest between incumbent Jim Marshall (D) and Mac Collins (R) is currently unavailable.

Congressional District: Idaho 1
Open Race—R (Butch Otter)

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Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Larry Grant (D)

Bill Sali (R)

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

998 LV

3.09

10/8-10/06

4349

Congressional District: Illinois 6
Open Race—R (Henry Hyde)

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesTammy Duckworth (D)Peter Roskam (R)

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

997 LV

3.07

10/8-10/06

4747

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D)

409 RV

5

10/8-9/06

5146

Zogby

500 LV

4.5

9/25-10/2/06

4338

Goodwin Simon (D)

400 LV

9/18-20/06

4141

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1069 LV

3.1

8/27-29/06

4746

Bennett, Petts & Blumenthal (D)

400 RV

5

5/9-11/06

4242

Congressional District: Illinois 8
Incumbent: Melissa Bean-D

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Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Melissa Bean (D)*

David McSweeney (R)

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

997 LV

3.10

10/15-16/06

47

44

Bennett, Petts, & Blumenthal (D)

600 LV

4

10/11-12/06

49

33

DCCC (D)

400 LV

5

9/13/06

47

28

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1006 LV

3.1

8/27-29/06

48

45

Congressional District: Illinois 10
Incumbent: Mark Kirk-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Dan Seals (D)

Mark Kirk (R)*

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1004 LV

3.09

10/15-16/06

44

46

Mellman Group (D)

400 LV

4.9

10/10-11/06

32

49

McLaughlin & Associates (R)

300 LV

5.66

10/8-9/06

32

57

Congressional District: Illinois 14
Incumbent: Dennis Hastert-R

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Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesJohn Laesch (D)Dennis Hastert (R)*

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1003 LV

3.08

10/8-10/06

4252

Congressional District: Illinois 19
Incumbent: John Shimkus-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Dan Stover (D)

John Shimkus (R)*

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1023 LV

3.08

10/8-10/06

3653

Congressional District: Indiana 2
Incumbent: Chris Chocola-R

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Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Joe Donnelly (D)

Chris Chocola (R)*

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

989 LV

3.07

10/8-10/06

5046

Mercury Public Affairs (R)

300 LV

5.65

10/9/06

44.744.0

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D)

400 LV

4.6

10/4-5/06

5236

Zogby

500 LV

4.5

9/25-10/2/06

4939

Mercury Public Affairs (R)

300 LV

--

9/17/06

4146

Research 2000

400 LV

5

9/15-17/06

5042

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1003 LV

3.1

9/8-10/06

5240

Research 2000

400 LV

5

7/21-23/06

4641

Cooper & Secrest (D)

504 LV

4.4

7/10-13/06

4838

Congressional District: Indiana 8
Incumbent: John Hostettler-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Brad Ellsworth (D)

John Hostettler (R)*

Indiana State University 626 LV3.9 10/5-12/06  54.532.1 

Indiana State University

603 RV

4

9/6-21/06

4732

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1031 LV

3.1

9/8-10/06

5145

Research 2000

400 LV

5

9/5-8/06

4440

Congressional District: Indiana 9
Incumbent: Mike Sodrel-R

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Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Baron Hill (D)

Mike Sodrel (R)*

SurveyUSA

512 LV

4.4

10/6-8/06

4846

Zogby

500 LV

4.5

9/25-10/2/06

4638

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1017 LV

3.1

9/8-10/06

5342

Research 2000

400 LV

5

9/5-8/06

4640

Congressional District: Iowa 1
Open Race—R (Jim Nussle)

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesBruce Braley (D)Mike Whalen (R)

Bennett, Petts & Blumenthal (D)

400 RV

4.9

10/5-8/06

48

37

Zogby

500 LV

4.5

9/25-10/2/06

3447

Selzer & Co

439 LV

4.7

9/10-13/06

4437

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1014 LV

3.1

8/27-29/06

5441

Congressional District: Iowa 2
Incumbent: Jim Leach-R

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Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesDavid Loebsack (D)Jim Leach (R)

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1006 LV

3.09

10/8-10/06

48

47

Congressional District: Iowa 3
Incumbent: Leonard Boswell-D

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesLeonard Boswell (D)Jeff Lamberti (R)*

Research 2000

400 LV

5

9/11-12/06

5241

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

989 LV

3.1

8/27-29/06

5443

Congressional District: Kentucky 3
Incumbent: Anne Northup-R

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Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesJohn Yarmuth (D)Anne Northup (R)

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

996 LV

3.09

10/8-10/06

4848

SurveyUSA

529 LV

4.3

9/26-28/06

4450

Cooper & Secrest (D)

563 LV

4.1

6/20-22/06

4647

Congressional District: Kentucky 4
Incumbent: Geoff Davis-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesKen Lucas (D)Geoff Davis (R)*

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1000 LV

3.09

10/8-10/06

4649

SurveyUSA

459 LV

4.7

10/7-9/06

4447

Zogby

500 LV

4.5

9/25-10/2/06

3642

SurveyUSA

427 LV

4.8

9/16-18/06

4844

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

963 LV

3.1

8/27-29/06

4649

SurveyUSA

656 LV

3.9

8/7-9/06

4446

SurveyUSA

447 LV

4.7

7/22-24/06

5041

Congressional District: Minnesota 1
Incumbent: Gil Gutknecht-R

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Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesTim Walz (D)Gil Gutknecht (R)*

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1024 LV

3.08

10/8-10/06

47

48

Congressional District: Minnesota 2
Incumbent: John Kline-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Coleen Rowley (DFL)

John Kline (R)*

SurveyUSA

519 LV

4.4

10/13-15/06

42

50

SurveyUSA

520 LV

4.4

9/24-26/06

35

55

Congressional District: Minnesota 6
Incumbent: Mark Kennedy-R

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Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesPatty Wetterling (DFL)Michelle Bachman (R)
Minneapolis Star Tribune506 LV4.510/6-12/064840

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

995 LV

3.09

10/8-10/06

5045

SurveyUSA

669 LV

3.9

10/6-8/06

4447

Zogby

500 LV

4.5

9/25-10/2/06

4346

SurveyUSA

641 LV

3.9

9/15-17/06

4150

Congressional District: Nevada 3
Incumbent: Jon Porter-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Tessa Hafen (D)

Jon Porter (R)*

Mason-Dixon

400 RV

5

9/19-21/06

3747

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1018 LV

3.1

8/27-29/06

4351

Congressional District: New Hampshire 1
Incumbent: Jeb Bradley-R

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Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Carol Shea-Porter (D)

Jeb Bradley (R)*

Research 2000

300 LV

6

9/13-14/06

3156

University of New Hampshire

261 LV

6.1

7/21-31/06

2458

Congressional District: New Hampshire 2
Incumbent: Charlie Bass-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Paul Hodes (D)

Charlie Bass (R)*

University of New Hampshire

220 LV

6.2

9/15-24/06

3646

Research 2000

300 LV

6

9/13-14/06

3055

Anzalone Liszt Research (D)

602 LV

4

8/14-20/06

4243

University of New Hampshire

249 LV

6.2

7/21-31/06

2553

Congressional District: New Jersey 7
Incumbent: Mike Ferguson-R

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Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesLinda Stender (D)Mike Ferguson (R)*

Tarrance Group (R)

300 LV

5.8

10/10-11/06

33

48

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1022 LV

3.10

10/8-10/06

46

48

Congressional District: New Mexico 1
Incumbent: Heather Wilson-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesPatricia Madrid (D)Heather Wilson (R)*

Survey USA

 470 LV 4.610/13-15/06  53 45

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

986 LV

3.09

10/8-10/06

5244

Zogby

500 LV

4.5

9/25-10/2/06

5040

Research & Polling

400 LV

5

9/25-28/06

4444

SurveyUSA

503 LV

4.5

9/18-20/06

4651

Research & Polling

410 RV

4.8

8/25-31/06

4245

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1010 LV

3.1

8/27-29/06

4548

Lake Research Partners (D)

400 LV

4.9

8/17-20/06

4446

Congressional District: New York 3
Incumbent: Peter King-R

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Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesDave Mejias (D)Peter King (R)

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

984 LV

3.09

10/8-10/06

46

48

Congressional District: New York 19
Incumbent: Sue Kelly-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesJohn Hall (D)Sue Kelly (R)*

Abacus Associates (D)

600 RV

4

9/15/06

44

49

Congressional District: New York 20
Incumbent: John Sweeney-R

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Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Kirsten Gillibrand (D)

John Sweeney (R)*

Global Insight400 RV4.910/13/064142

Global Strategy Group

410 LV

3.9

8/29-31/06

3947

Sienna College

628 LV

3.9

8/21-23/06

3453

Congressional District: New York 24
Open Race—R (Sherwood Boehlert)

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Mike Arcuri (D)

Ray Meier (R)

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1029 LV

3.07

10/8-10/06

5342

Benenson Strategy Group (D)

500 LV

4.4

7/26-30/06

4036

Congressional District: New York 25
Incumbent: James T. Walsh-R

Polling data that tests a contest between incumbent James T. Walsh (R) and Dan Maffei (D) is currently unavailable.

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Congressional District: New York 26
Incumbent: Tom Reynolds-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesJack Davis (D)Tom Reynolds (R)*

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1056 LV

3.07

10/8-10/06

56

40

Zogby

402 LV

5

10/4-5/06

48

33

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)

522 LV

4.4

10/3-4/06

50

42

SurveyUSA

482 LV

4.6

10/2-4/06

50

45

SurveyUSA

491 LV

4.5

9/25-27/06

43

45

Congressional District: New York 29
Incumbent: Randy Kuhl-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Eric Massa (D)

Randy Kuhl (R)*

Cooper & Secrest (D)

503 LV

4.4

9/19-21/06

3943

Advertisement

Congressional District: North Carolina 8
Incumbent: Robin Hayes-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesLarry Kissell (D)Robin Hayes (R)*

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1029 LV

3.08

10/8-10/06

5144

Congressional District: North Carolina 11
Incumbent: Charles Taylor-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesHeath Shuler (D)Charles Taylor (R)*

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

979 LV

3.09

10/8-10/06

5143

Zogby

500 LV

4.5

9/25-10/2/06

5140

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1021 LV

3.1

8/27-29/06

5047

OnPoint Polling and Research (D)

731 LV

3.6

8/8-13/06

4843

Public Policy Polling

675 LV

3.7

7/10/06

5145

Anzalone Liszt Research (D)

400 LV

5

5/4-8/06

4543

Advertisement

Congressional District: Ohio 1
Incumbent: Steve Chabot-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesJohn Cranley (D)Steve Chabot (R)*

Anzalone-Liszt Research (D)

500 LV

4.4

7/17-8/1/06

4545

Congressional District: Ohio 2
Incumbent: Jean Schmidt-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesVictoria Wulsin (D)Jean Schmidt (R)*

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1003 LV

3.09

10/8-10/06

4845

SurveyUSA

497 LV

4.5

9/17-19/06

4245

Advertisement

Congressional District: Ohio 6
Open Race—D (Ted Strickland)

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Charlie Wilson (D)

Chuck Blasdel (R)

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

982 LV

3.1

8/27-29/06

5640

SurveyUSA

516 LV

4.4

9/26-28/06

5441

Congressional District: Ohio 15
Incumbent: Deborah Pryce-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Mary Jo Kilroy (D)

Deborah Pryce (R)*

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1015 LV

3.09

10/8-10/06

5341
Research 2000220LV6.29/15-26/063346
Anzalone Liszt Research220LV6.29/15-26/063742

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Congressional District: Ohio 18
Open Race—R (Bob Ney)

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Zack Space (D)

Joy Padgett (R)

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D)

400 RV

5

10/10-11/06

4841

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

987 LV

3.10

10/8-10/06

5142

Zogby

500 LV

4.5

9/25-10/2/06

4536

Congressional District: Oklahoma 5
Open Race—R (Ernest Istook)

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

David Hunter (D)

Mary Fallin (R)

SurveyUSA

435 LV

4.7

10/8-10/06

3362

Advertisement

Congressional District: Pennsylvania 6
Incumbent: Jim Gerlach-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesLois Murphy (D)Jim Gerlach (R)*

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1023 LV

3.07

10/8-10/06

5246

Zogby

500 LV

4.5

9/25-10/2/06

4341

Keystone Research

349 LV

5.2

9/20-25/06

4144

Public Opinion Strategies (R)

400 LV

4.9

9/13-14/06

3647

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1020 LV

3.1

8/27-29/06

5045

Garin-Hart-Yang (D)

601 LV

4.1

7/27-29/06

4241

Congressional District: Pennsylvania 7
Incumbent: Curt Weldon-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesJoe Sestak (D)Curt Weldon (R)*

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1017 LV

3.08

10/8-10/06

52

44

Franklin & Marshall College

363 LV

5.2

9/22-9/27/06

45

44

Public Opinion Strategies (R)

400 LV

4.9

9/12-13/06

33

52

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D)

607 LV

--

5/10-16/06

41

51

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Congressional District: Pennsylvania 8
Incumbent: Mike Fitzpatrick-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Patrick Murphy (D)

Mike Fitzpatrick (R)*

Grove Insight400 RV4.910/15/064440

Global Strategy Group (D)

403 LV

4.9

7/10-12/06

3844

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1006 LV

3.1

8/27-29/06

4553

Congressional District: Pennsylvania 10
Incumbent: Don Sherwood-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Chris Carney (D)

Don Sherwood (R)*

Bennett, Petts & Blumenthal (D)

400 RV

4.9

10/8-9/06

5137

Lycoming College

804 LV

3.5

9/24-28/06

46.7

38.2

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1008 LV

3.1

8/27-29/06

5043

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Congressional District: Texas 17
Incumbent: Chet Edwards-D

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Chet Edwards (D)*

Van Taylor (R)

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1008 LV

3.10

10/8-10/06

5538

Bennett, Petts & Blumenthal (D)

400 LV

4.9

10/9-10/06

5433

Congressional District: Texas 22
Open Race—R (Tom Delay**)

Polling data that tests a contest between incumbent Tom Delay (R)** and Nick Lampson (D) is currently unavailable.

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**Tom Delay's name will appear on the ballot despite his resignation from Congress. Shelley Sekula-Gibbs is a write-in candidate who has been endorsed by the Republican Party.

Congressional District: Vermont At-Large
Open Race—I (Bernie Sanders)

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesPeter Welch (D)Martha Rainville (R)*

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D)

401 RV

5

10/8-9/06

52

41

American Research Group

600 LV

4

9/13-14/06

4845

American Research Group

600 LV

4

7/26-27/06

4142

Congressional District: Virginia 2
Incumbent: Thelma Drake-R

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Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesPhil Kellam (D)Thelma Drake (R)*

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

982 LV

3.10

10/8-10/06

4648

Zogby

500 LV

4.5

9/25-10/2/06

4642

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1021 LV

3.1

8/27-29/06

5143

McLaughlin & Associates (R)

300 LV

5.6

8/28-29/06

41.348.3

Congressional District: Virginia 5
Incumbent: Virgil Goode-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Al Weed (D)

Virgil Goode (R)*

SurveyUSA

502 LV

4.4

10/8-10/06

4056

Congressional District: Virginia 10
Incumbent: Frank Wolf-R

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Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesJudy Feder (D)Frank Wolf (R)*

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1004 LV

3.07

10/8-10/06

42457

Congressional District: Washington 8
Incumbent: Dave Reichert-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesDarcy Burner (D)Dave Reichert (R)*

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1015 LV

3.09

10/8-10/06

4548

SurveyUSA

536 LV

4.3

9/24-26/06

4850

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1051 LV

3.1

8/27-29/06

4946

SurveyUSA

609 RV

4

8/22-23/06

4154

Congressional District: West Virginia 1
Incumbent: Alan Mollohan-D

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Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Alan Mollohan (D)*

Chris Wakim (R)

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

1003 LV

3.09

8/27-29/06

5242

Congressional District: Wisconsin 8
Open Race—R (Mark Green)

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDatesSteve Kagen (D)John Gard (R)*

RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics

983 LV

3.09

10/8-10/06

48

46

Congressional District: Wyoming At-Large
Incumbent: Barbara Cubin-R

Pollster/SourceNPopMoEDates

Gary Trauner (D)

Barbara Cubin (R)*

Mason-Dixon

625 RV

4

10/9-12/06

37

44