The Trump Apocalypse Watch is a subjective daily estimate, using a scale of one to four horsemen, of how likely it is that Donald Trump will be elected president, thus triggering an apocalypse in which we all die.
Last week, Donald Trump was creeping a little closer to Hillary Clinton in the polls; today, he’s … well, still creeping. RealClearPolitics’ average pegs Clinton’s lead at 3.3 points, down from a recent high of 6, while Pollster has the gap at 5.4, down from 8. FiveThirtyEight’s model still gives Clinton a 2 in 3 chance of winning in November, but even famed nonoverreactor Nate Silver is writing that we’re getting close enough that “further shift of a few points in Trump’s favor, or a polling error of that magnitude, would make the Electoral College highly competitive.”
On the other hand … hell, I’ve got nothing! I hope Clinton has something cooked up or that Trump shoots himself in the foot for the 1,000,000,000,000,000th time. Danger level: raised.
Photo illustration by Slate. Photo by Getty Images, Wikimedia Commons
