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Koch Shot

"I Love New York" and "Trust Me" were produced for the Hillary Clinton campaign by "Team Hillary," a combined effort of Mandy Grunwald, Devito/Verdi, and Mark Penn. Click here for transcripts of the ads.

From: Jacob Weisberg

To: William Saletan

Right after the negative ads we discussed earlier this week, Hillary Clinton put up this pair of spots featuring Ed Koch as her urban assault vehicle. They strike me as faintly hilarious in the vein of an exhibition they had at the Jewish Museum a few years ago called "Too Jewish?" I imagine Hillary's team in the studio cutting this ad and asking each other that question. And the inevitable answer: Not for the Upper West Side!

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Hillary 1 - Hate Crime
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The ads really do sound like authentic Koch. Koch personalizes everything. He says he likes Rick Lazio, but he's not voting for him, basically because he's not liberal enough. Coming from a man who supported Alfonse D'Amato for re-election in 1998, this is a curious standard, but as I said, everything's personal to Koch. In the first ad, the former mayor zings Lazio for not sharing three opinions: Medicaid should cover abortion, handguns should have to be registered and licensed, Pat Buchanan is the devil. In other words, this is an ad pitched at the customers at Zabar's. The second spot substitutes the patients' bill of rights for Pat Buchanan. This one may be targeted at a region extending slightly beyond the Upper West Side of Manhattan.

Koch is being a bit unfair on at least a couple of these issues. Lazio opposes partial-birth abortions, which calls his pro-choice absolutism into question. But Koch doesn't mention that. Instead he says Lazio is "not really pro-choice because he won't support funding abortion for poor women, which I support and Hillary supports." It seems to me that someone who thinks abortion should be legal but that taxpayers who think it's murder shouldn't have to pay for it can legitimately call himself pro-choice. Lazio has a pretty good record on gun control, despite the fact that he doesn't support Hillary Clinton's proposal for gun licensing. And claiming that Hillary "had the guts to say no to Pat Buchanan" because she declined to be considered for the nomination of a party that didn't want her anyhow is a bit of a reach. It didn't take any guts for Hillary to say no to Pat Buchanan. She would have to be nuts to say anything else.

Both ads end with the weird sign-off, "Trust me—I love New York." Most Americans would probably say that someone who loves New York is decidedly not to be trusted. Koch's ads provide a modicum of support for that prejudice.

From: William Saletan

To: Jacob Weisberg

These ads pretty much confirm the strategic layout we discussed a couple of days ago: In this race, the Democrats have the issues, and the Republicans have the candidate. First Clinton pounded Lazio on two issues where he strayed from the liberal line. Then Lazio tried to neutralize the issue differences (saying that he, just like Clinton, was for a patients' bill of rights and against hate crimes) and steered the debate toward Clinton's negativism and her lack of New York roots.

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Hillary 2 - HMO
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The Koch ads smack the ball back into Lazio's court. By appearing in the ads, speaking Zabarese, and reminding viewers how much he loves New York as well as Clinton, Koch tries to neutralize the carpetbagging issue Lazio raised. Instead, Koch steers the viewer's attention back to issues—gun control, abortion, health care, and Pat Buchanan—on which most New Yorkers lean toward Clinton's positions and away from Lazio's.

As with the ads we reviewed Tuesday, the Clinton campaign seems to have cut and pasted its latest message directly from its polls to its TV spots. A lot of New Yorkers like Lazio personally but agree more with Clinton's position on the issues. That's exactly the message Koch delivers: "I like Rick Lazio, but I am not voting for him. He's wrong on too many issues." If Lazio loses the race, that message—and the Clinton campaign's elegant simplicity in delivering it—will be the reason.

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Jacob Weisberg is chairman and editor-in-chief of the Slate Group and author of The Bush Tragedy. Follow him at http://twitter.com/jacobwe. William Saletan is Slate's national correspondent and author of Bearing Right: How Conservatives Won the Abortion War. Follow him on Twitter here.
COMMENTS

Reader Response from The Fray:


Am I the only one whose getting a little tired of that hoary old chestnut "if I don't like it (abortion, war, capital punishment, campaign financing, etc), I shouldn't have to pay taxes for it"? We are governed by national consensus (sort of), and we all have complaints about how our tax dollars are spent. Our remedy is not being allowed to pick and choose how the dollars will be apportioned, but rather our choice of people to make that decision in our name. This should be obvious.

--Dennis

(To reply, click here.)


If one were to actually look at poll results statewide (and nationwide), one would see that on guns, on abortion, and on taxes, voters support Lazio's position, not Clinton's. That doesn't mean they support conservative positions, as Slate so often rightly points out. The only issue where Hillary might actually have an advantage in issue polls is on the question of a so-called patient's bill of rights (maybe I should call it, what proponents refer to as a patient's bill of rights, or, better, a certain type of bill of rights for certain persons), where a slight majority would favor, in the abstract (before shown the reality of the trial lawyers) a right to sue prior to any right of appeal. But Lazio wouldn't lose the election based on that small difference. Lazio's positions were formed in a focus group somewhere, don't forget.

--Thomas

(To reply, click here.)


Saletan and Weisberg ignore what I consider to be a fundamental weakness of Hillary's ads: she isn't in them and they don't use her voice. As long as Lazio responds to these surrogate ads in person, I think he makes the better impression, regardless of the way the issues cut.

--Will

(To reply, click here.)

(6/30)

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