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Facial ProfilingCan you tell if a man is dangerous by the shape of his mug?

Illustration by Charlie Powell. Click image to expand.On Nov. 27, 2008, Indian police interrogators came face to face with the only gunman captured alive in last year's bloody Mumbai terror attacks. They were surprised by what they saw. Ajmal Kasab, who had murdered dozens in the city's main railway station, stood barely 5 feet tall, with bright eyes and apple cheeks. His boyish looks earned him a nickname among Indians—"the baby-faced killer"—and further spooked a rattled public. "Who or what is he? Dangerous fanatic or exploited innocent?" wondered a horrified columnist in the Times of India. No one, it seems, had expected the face of terror to look so sweet.

The notion that a man's mug reveals his character is an age-old bias. Since Aristotle, people have thought it possible to infer personality traits from the face and body, an art known as physiognomy. The practice grew popular in the years after the American Revolution, when a Swiss enthusiast published a series of illustrated pocket guides to help readers interpret faces on the go. Soon, it was plain to everyone that a man's greatness was prefigured in his face. (George Washington's big schnoz, for example, signaled strength and foresight.) Over the next 150 years, a gang of enterprising physiognomists set about using the new "science" to identify society's bad apples, too.

In the late 19th century, the Italian criminologist Cesare Lombroso ran autopsies on convicts and cataloged features that might identify "born criminals," such as jug ears and overdeveloped canines. In the 1930s, Harvard's Earnest Hooton examined 14,000 prisoners and observed that first-degree murderers tended to have straight hair, while the hair of second-degree murderers was unusually golden. A few years later, Columbia psychologist William Sheldon studied delinquent youth and invented a human taxonomy consisting of three types—ectomorphs (thin-faced, skinny, brainy), mesomorphs (broad-faced, muscular, aggressive), and endomorphs (round-faced, fat, sociable). He further divided these groups into 88 subtypes named after animals, such as the Herons (very often Phi Beta Kappas, he wrote) and the Foxes and Coyotes (Jesus Christ's type, per Sheldon). Overall, he concluded that the meaty-faced mesomorphs were most prone to criminality.

Much of this work fell apart under scrutiny. Lombroso's statistical methods stunk. Hooton chucked data that didn't fit his hypothesis. Sheldon had not examined very many criminal delinquents, and no one much understood how he distinguished a Great Cat (such as King Arthur) from a Great Saber-tooth Bobcat (e.g., Bronko Nagurski) in the first place. In the wake of the Nazi death camps, theories of "criminal anthropology" fell from favor, and researchers emphasized social explanations for behavior.

But today, physiognomy is making a comeback. In the last decade, breakthroughs in 3-D modeling and animation software have opened up the field. At the same time, ideas from genetics and evolutionary psychology are reanimating old debates about biological determinism, race and gender differences, and why humans possess the faces and bodies that we do.

The new research suggests we are more skilled at "reading faces" than we knew. People are surprisingly adept at assessing sexual orientation from headshots. Five-year-olds can predict election outcomes based on photos of the candidates. We can even guess whether a face belongs to a Democrat or a Republican at a rate better than chance, according to a forthcoming study out of Princeton.

Now some of the "new physiognomists" are resurrecting an old claim: that you can gauge a man's penchant for aggression by the cut of his jib. Last fall University of California-Santa Barbara psychologist Aaron Sell reported that college students could accurately estimate the upper body strength of unfamiliar men after viewing their faces alone. (The men's necks were obscured.) The students did equally well with fellow undergraduates and men from South American indigenous groups—all of whom had had their strength measured using gym equipment. Interestingly, the toughest-looking undergrads also reported getting in the most fights. Another study by Sell suggests that such formidable men are more prone to use violence—or advocate military action—to resolve conflicts.

Many animals employ similar systems. Male orangutans grow fatty cheek pads that reflect group status. Lions with long, dark manes tend to rule the pride. From an evolutionary perspective, these advertisements may be a convenient way of saying, "Hey bro—btw, I can kick your ass" without having to go through the risk of combat.

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Dave Johns is a writer and public radio producer in New York.
Illustration by Charlie Powell.
COMMENTS

Any doctor could tell you it's useless. Here's an example: say for an infection penicillin is the best antibiotic to give, cheapest, works best, etc. Now say someone comes in and has said infection but ALSO says that the last time they were given penicillin they almost died.

Would you give them penicillin anyway? It's been proven cheapest and best...

Of course not, because you'd kill them. The point being in medicine what's right for THE INDIVIDUAL is what's important at the end of the day, NOT what's important for people overall. The same applies here: Who CARES if a lot of people with phenotype X behave a certain way? What matters is how is the ONE person standing right in front of you behaving.

Are you going to fire a great guy who looks like a troll, or hire a strangler because they look great regardless of other warning clues? Man, I hope not. What a waste of talent, and an excuse for bigotry.

-- Bondsman
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Speaking as one of the researchers whose work is featured in this article, I can assure you that the goal of this research is not to provide cheap excuses for people to prejudge an individual's character on variables that are inferior in accuracy to the kinds of cues available by conversing with the individual. That being said, from a scientific standpoint there is a genuine question of fact here. People either can, or cannot, assess physical strength and aggression from the face. The data suggests that individuals can do this with some sizeable accuracy. My own work puts the correlation between actual physical strength and ratings of strength from the face at about .40. That is a moderately sized correlation in social science. It would, of course, be foolish to use this single piece of information when interviewing a prospective client or making a determination of fact in a courtroom, but it is absolutely NOT the role of scientists to screen our data for what we think the general public is allowed to know based on whether they would misuse (in our opinion) this information.

You said this data is useless. Well that depends on what you want to use it for. If your goal is to identify criminals then it will be of very little use. But if your goal is to understand the design of the anger face, or map the effects of testosterone, or understand artistic depictions of superheroes in cartoons than this data is highly relevant.

-- Aaron Sell
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