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Trying to make sense of Condoleezza Rice's latest statement.
Fred Kaplan
posted Aug. 20, 2008 - Lonely Night in Georgia
The Bush administration's feckless response to the Russian invasion.
Fred Kaplan
posted Aug. 11, 2008 - Annual General Meeting
Finally, the Army is promoting the right officers.
Fred Kaplan
posted Aug. 4, 2008 - How Much Does John McCain Really Know About Foreign Policy?
Not as much as he'd like you to think.
Fred Kaplan
posted July 23, 2008 - Grading the Candidates' War Speeches
Obama's was flawed; McCain's is a bit of a fantasy.
Fred Kaplan
posted July 16, 2008 - Search for more war stories articles
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Sorry, Mr. President, You're All Out of TroopsBut maybe France can help solve the Iraq mess.
By Fred KaplanPosted Wednesday, Aug. 29, 2007, at 6:31 PM ET
According to a fascinating story by Adam Gopnik in the Aug. 27 issue of The New Yorker, when the new French president, Nicolas Sarkozy, met Condoleezza Rice, she said, "What can I do for you?" Sarkozy replied, "Improve your image in the world. It's difficult when the country that is the most powerful, the most successful—that is, of necessity, the leader of our side—is one of the most unpopular countries in the world. It presents overwhelming problems for you and overwhelming problems for your allies."
One interesting aspect of this story is Sarkozy's view of the United States as "the leader of our side." (Jacques Chirac would never have uttered such an admission.) Gopnik disputed the widespread notion that Sarkozy is "pro-American." He has an American style and a more American disposition to free markets. But he is very French in his view of an independent Europe and of his own nation's central position in that entity, in the promotion of Western civilization generally.
Still, in a recent address on foreign policy, Sarkozy expressed concerns that aren't far out of line with some of Bush's (and other Americans') concerns—about Iran's nuclear ambitions, Russia's growing insularity, and the regional cataclysms that might erupt from the violence in Iraq (even while he called for a U.S. pullout).
Bush—or whoever succeeds him—should embrace Sarkozy's ambitions and ally them to ours. His socialist foreign minister, Bernard Kouchner, recently asked Condoleezza Rice, "What can we do for you in Iraq?" The answer should be: Take the lead in mediating a deal with Iraq's neighbors, and put non-American fingerprints on a containment, even a settlement, of the war.
Remarks from the Fray:
After reading the synopsis of George W. Bush's speech to the VFW and the American Legion, both of which organizations are made up of military veterans, I am coming to the reluctant conclusion that the Commander-in-Chief is as out of touch with the objective realities of the war in Iraq today as der Fuehrer was with the military situation in Germany in 1945. He is heading very rapidly into Cloud-Cuckoo-Land, where he manipulates forces that do not exist except in his clouded little mind; forces that are not going to exist in Iraq.
Let's forget for a minute about how and why Bush got us into this war. That's old news and not relevant to what I'm trying to say. I'll ignore the hearts-and-minds issue too, a critical issue in any war against insurgents. The fact remains that in order to pacify Iraq and start rebuilding it, Bush must defeat the enemy militarily; break them to the point they give up.
To do that, he needs manpower. Lots of it. And I don't mean rear echelon types, the 'tail' that wags the line animal 'dog' in the field. He needs grunts, riflemen on the battle line. And he hasn't got them, nor can he get them.
After the end of the Cold War, the Army was reorganized to fight short, sharp hyperwars. This seemed the right way to go based on our experience in Grenada and in Gulf War I, where the duration of the fighting could be measured in hours. But that reorganization left our military without the ability to fight a sustained conflict like World War II, Korea or Vietnam. They don't have the manpower and they don't have the support structure they require to carry out that kind of mission successfully.
And because the war in Iraq does not threaten our national existence as World War II did, neither the People nor the troops are willing to stay overseas for as long as it takes to win that kind of a war. Troops will hold still for a lot if they know there is a goal to be met, but that once the goal is reached, they will be going home. I can't say that's what is going on in Iraq. They will go because they are ordered to, but they won't stay there one minute longer than they have to; and they won't re-enlist once their term of service is up. That's why Bush had to put stop-loss orders into place. No one wants to fight his war if they don't have to. The Army has shot its bolt, manpower-wise. The troops just are not available, nor will they be any time soon.
So where does that leave George W. Bush, the Decider? Sitting in the Situation Room beneath the White House with his generals, moving markers around on the situation maps, trying to find some way out of the political trap whose jaws are closing on him. Seems to me I've seen this scene somewhere before...
--Cyrano
(To reply, click here.)
What even the most benighted Bush apologists should acknowledge, if they have a shred of concern for their country, is that once it became obvious that the war in Iraq -- the supposed "war for civilization" -- was not going to be a cakewalk, Bush simply bagged the whole thing.
You don't fight a "war for civilization" while you're cutting taxes and refusing any significant increase in boots on the ground. The last time fascists blindsided this country, in 1941, we put 15 million men under arms and kept them there until the sons-of-bitches were beaten, and then kept a goodly number of those men under arms just in case anybody got the idea they it might be tried again. Compare this with what Bush has done and what you see is somebody who isn't fighting a "war for civilization." You see somebody who has an agenda that he values more than that. I say it's protecting his tax cuts, but any Bush loyalists who have an alternative vision are welcome to correct me.
--the_slasher14
(To reply, click here.)
Bush won't draw down the troops during his administration. So when President Obama begins a more thorough draw down, Bush and his supporters will be able to say they were right, no matter what happens in Iraq.
If Iraq becomes more peaceful with only 10,000 American troops, then Bush and his supporters will say that he was right to invade and "stay the course." If Iraq blows up into a full sectarian civil war after the real withdrawal, then Bush and his supporters will say that he was right in his dire predictions about what will happen when we leave. They'll say "We were stabbed in the back again!" He's making more noise about the disaster that will happen when we leave because he now thinks disaster is a more likely result. He no longer thinks we'll be "victorious," even on his terms. It's all very self-serving. Kaplan's big mistake is in believing that Bush cares about the country. All he cares about is himself. Luckily, most Americans see this now.
--Tlauf
(To reply, click here.)
Bush's unwillingness to grasp reality is less a function of his stupidity or stubbornness than his unparalleled instinct for self-preservation. It's the same game he's been playing his whole presidency--never accept blame OR responsibility when things go wrong (that's for losers); never change course (that shows weakness); always take credit for what goes right (the perogative of the privileged). Bush has played out his hand so now he's got to bluff his way through the next 6 months. As he sees it, that's his only choice-- because the ONLY thing that matters to him is retaining the tattered remains of his "legacy."
--bodack
(To reply, click here.)
(9/1)
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