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Grow Some TestablesIntelligent design ducks the rigors of science.

Four months ago, when evolution and "intelligent design" (ID) squared off in Kansas, I defended ID as a more evolved version of creationism. ID posits that complex systems in nature must have been designed by an intelligent agent. The crucial step forward is ID's concession that "observation, hypothesis testing, measurement, experimentation, logical argument and theory building"—not scriptural authority—define science. Having acknowledged that standard, advocates of ID must now demonstrate how hypotheses based on it can be tested by experiment or observation. Otherwise, ID isn't science.

This week, ID is on trial again in Pennsylvania. And so far, its proponents aren't taking the experimental test they accepted in Kansas. They're ducking it.

The Pennsylvania case involves a policy, adopted by the board of the Dover Area School District, that requires ninth-grade biology teachers to tell students about ID. According to the policy, "A theory is defined as a well-tested explanation that unifies a broad range of observations." So far, so good.

Under the policy, "Students will be made aware of gaps/problems in Darwin's Theory and of other theories of evolution including, but not limited to, Intelligent Design." Notice the "of" before "other theories." The policy doesn't tell teachers to discuss gaps and problems in ID. It tells them to discuss gaps and problems in Darwinism—and then to discuss ID as an alternative "theory." The board's brief makes clear that the policy's aim is "informing students about the existing scientific controversy surrounding Darwin's Theory of Evolution, including the fact that there are alternative scientific theories."

The first half makes sense: Students should be made aware of gaps and problems in Darwinism. But what's with the second half? Once you've outlined the limits of Darwinism, what more does ID offer? What does it say? What does it explain?

So far, nothing.

The board names two scientists who advocate ID "as a scientific theory": Michael Behe of Lehigh University and Scott Minnich of the University of Idaho*. Minnich's expert testimony in the Dover case refers to Behe's work. Behe's testimony refers to a 2001 article in which he claims to have shown "that intelligent design theory is falsifiable." A longer version of the article explains,

In fact, intelligent design is open to direct experimental rebuttal. Here is a thought experiment that makes the point clear. In Darwin's Black Box (Behe 1996) I claimed that the bacterial flagellum was irreducibly complex and so required deliberate intelligent design. The flip side of this claim is that the flagellum can't be produced by natural selection acting on random mutation, or any other unintelligent process. To falsify such a claim, a scientist could go into the laboratory, place a bacterial species lacking a flagellum under some selective pressure (for mobility, say), grow it for ten thousand generations, and see if a flagellum—or any equally complex system—was produced. If that happened, my claims would be neatly disproven.

Behe is right that such an experiment, by showing that random mutation and natural selection can produce the flagellum, would disprove the claim that they can't. He calls the latter claim—that Darwinism fails to produce the flagellum—the "flip side" of his claim that the flagellum required intelligent design. But the Darwinism-fails claim isn't just the "flip side" of the design-is-necessary claim. It's the whole thing. The theory that's being tested in the experiment is Darwinism. If Darwinism succeeds, ID would be disproved, but only to the extent that ID consists of saying Darwinism would fail. And to that extent, ID isn't an explanatory theory in its own right. It's just a restatement of the first half of the Dover School Board's policy: a discussion of gaps in Darwinism.

Behe's article makes clear that ID is purely negative, with no explanatory mechanisms of its own.

The claim of intelligent design is that "No unintelligent process could produce this system." The claim of Darwinism is that "Some unintelligent process could produce this system." To falsify the first claim, one need only show that at least one unintelligent process could produce the system. To falsify the second claim, one would have to show the system could not have been formed by any of a potentially infinite number of possible unintelligent processes, which is effectively impossible to do.

The complaint that Darwinism can resort to an "infinite number" of processes misses the key word: processes. What makes Darwinism finite and falsifiable is its commitment to explain processes of evolution. Debunk one process, and Darwinists are forced to propose and test another. (For an excellent review of Darwinism's performance under empirical challenge, see Rick Weiss and David Brown's article in Monday's Washington Post.) What makes ID infinite and unfalsifiable is its refusal to explain intelligent design. You send your kids to biology class to learn by what processes living things evolve. ID doesn't even try to answer that question.

Don't take it from me. Take it from Behe. "By 'intelligent design' I mean to imply design beyond the laws of nature," he writes. Or take it from the Dover School Board, whose brief flatly denies "that Intelligent Design Theory sets forth a thesis concerning the nature of the intelligence responsible for the apparent design in nature." In his testimony, Behe even asserts that "the necessity for a 'scientific' theory to be falsifiable is disputed."

So here's what ID proponents are offering to teach your kids: They won't say how ID works. They won't say how it can be tested, apart from testing Darwinism and inferring that the alternative is ID. They won't concede it has to be falsifiable. All they'll say is that Darwinism hasn't explained some things. But that's what the first half of the Dover policy says already. So there's no need for the second half—the part that mentions ID.

The Dover School Board thinks it's getting a bum rap. All it asked its teachers to do was to mention ID. It never ordered them to teach it. "The theory of Intelligent Design shall not be taught to the students," says the board. Of course not. There's nothing to teach.

Correction, Sept. 30, 2005: The Dover school board submitted two briefs on July 13, 2005. One said Minnich was a professor at Iowa State. The other said he was a professor at the University of Idaho. Based on the first brief, I said he was at Iowa State. The second brief turns out to be the correct one. (Return to corrected sentence.)

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William Saletan is Slate's national correspondent and author of Bearing Right: How Conservatives Won the Abortion War.
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COMMENTS

Remarks from the Fray:

Michael Behe just doesn't go away. In my freshman year of college, I heard Michael Behe speak in a series of seminars recognizing the 140th anniversary of the Origin. Behe was invited because it was the freaking University of South Carolina, and they needed a huge hall for all the people coming out of the hills to hear why Darwin was wrong, and why he needed to be put into some sort of Black Box. Now, I'm descended from those hill-folk, but I grew out of at least that particular childish fantasy, and I was delighted to see one of my own professors tear Behe a new one once it came time for questions. He had spoken of the flagellar motor that night, and he apparently still does.
I'm in grad school now, studying microbiology, and I recently read Richard Dawkins' thinking on Behe's supposition of intelligent design. Dawkins states that Behe's theory is actually a theory of personal incredulity; "I can't think of a way it happened, so God did it".

I'm writing today because Behe's contention that one might be able to claim falsifiability for ID by trying to evolve your own flagellar motor in lab is laughable. The fact is that God could still be plugging in that motor just to be a pest, and no amount of evolving bacterial motility in the lab would ever prove that God didn't do it in the very first place, not that I think he did. Lehigh is subjecting its students to a fool.

--CadillacMan

(To reply, click here)


The problem I have with presenting ID in school classrooms is that ID has not yet "run the gauntlet" that evolution, relativity, and other established theories have before being presented as reliable science to high school students.

Why should ID be excused from the process of peer-reviewed study? Why does ID, which is less than 20 years old, get a "pass" when it took evolution over 60 years before it was even allowed to be taught at all?

Getting a scientific theory of any kind accepted takes time. It took decades for the expanding universe model to replace steady-state. Years of study by experts in the field, endless debates in the relevant scientific journals, led to the change in that scientific paradigm.

Not a court case. Not action by a school board. Not a carefully orchestrated political campaign outside the realm of science.

Yet ID supporters want to circumvent the scientific review process and get their idea shoved into school by a combination of the above mentioned litigation and political action.

…Now why should we be in such a rush to get ID into schools? What is it about ID that makes it so urgent a matter? Why can't its proponents go through the same processes that any other scientist would to get their ideas heard?

--OlderGeezer

(To reply, click here)


Basically, ID is a hypothesis at this point, not a theory. I wouldn't really recommend teaching it to high school students. At the same time, I wouldn't recommend teaching any of the materialist origin of life hypotheses. Those random 'abiotic to biotic' experiments that show up in texts all the time are merely suggestive of a potential hypothesis and have never tested the hypotheses.

But here's the rub. The high school teachers want to be able to teach something about the origins of life, because it feels important and sexy. Evolution as a theory doesn't sound so cool if it can't deal with the origins of life. What needs to happen is that teachers need to recognize the limits of what they can speak to - and give up talking about things that aren't reasonably well worked out.

--BenK

(To reply, click here)


While the point of Saletan's problem is well-made, he again falls prey to the faulty reasoning of ID proponents:

"Students should be made aware of gaps and problems in Darwinism."

I would bet that most people--including many who are knowledgeable about evolution--would have a very difficult time coming up with real examples of gaps and problems in Darwinism. Although such gaps do exist, they are small and technical--mere spaces around the edges of the theory that have yet to be filled in, and not major flaws or failings of the theory of evolution. Evolutionary theory is more complete and supported than other commonly accepted theories such as atomic theory or gravitational theory. Yet, we spend no time whatsoever teaching eighth-graders about the gaps or problems with gravitational theory or atomic theory. And we don't quit teaching students about electrons because we don't completely understand the nature of quarks.

The proper time to teach students about the gaps in evolutionary theory is in upper-level evolution classes, or even in graduate school, when students have advanced to the point where they can understand and even begin solving the problems. Not in junior high school, when they're trying to solve the problems of which zit cream works the best.

By repeating the ID claim of "gaps and problems," Saletan advances the claims of ID proponents while trying to argue against them.

--Archaeopteryx

(To reply, click here)

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