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GMENAC assumed that the economy would grow by only 1 percent a year and made similarly low-ball estimates about the length of time of an average doctor's office visit. And it failed to foresee that the percentage of female medical students would rise from below 30 percent in 1980 to more than 50 percent today. This matters because in the aggregate, women doctors work as many as 40 percent fewer hours than men.

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