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- Here Odai, Gone Tomorrow
The odds of war.
William Saletan
posted March 18, 2003 - Time's Up
The odds of war.
William Saletan
posted March 17, 2003 - Chile Reception
The odds of war.
William Saletan
posted March 14, 2003 - French Toast
The odds of war.
William Saletan
posted March 13, 2003 - Show and Telly
The odds of war.
William Saletan
posted March 12, 2003 - Search for more saddameter articles
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saddameter: The odds of war in Iraq.
Show and TellyThe odds of war.
By William SaletanPosted Wednesday, March 12, 2003, at 6:19 PM ET

Chance of Invasion
Today: 98 percent
New British U.N. proposal would set March 21 or March 24 deadline by which Saddam must 1) say on TV that he has WMD and will give them up and 2) let 30 Iraqi scientists be interviewed outside Iraq, among other demands. CW: Saddam would sooner choke. Bill Clinton chimes in for extending the deadline. Bush lobbies Security Council; latest administration leaks indicate Angola, Cameroon, and possibly Guinea are moving toward U.S. position. U.S. officials hint council members who vote no could suffer retribution. Spain's foreign minister says U.S. bloc is "considering" avoiding a vote on its war resolution in view of French veto pledge. Other Spanish officials play down that remark.

William Saletan is Slate's national correspondent and author of Bearing Right: How Conservatives Won the Abortion War.
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