With France Like These The odds of war.

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Chance of Invasion
Today: 99 percent

U.S. and France lobby swing votes on Security Council. A leader of Pakistan's ruling party says Pakistan will abstain. Britain implicitly offers to push back March 17 deadline in exchange for votes. New U.S. spin: We've gone to war justly without U.N. support before. Turkey continues to negotiate compensation for U.S. troop deployments.

Thursday: 99 percent

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William Saletan is Slate's national correspondent and author of Bearing Right: How Conservatives Won the Abortion War. Follow him on Twitter here.

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