HOME / saddameter: The odds of war in Iraq.

Turnkoats?The odds of war.

By William SaletanPosted Monday, March 3, 2003, at 2:22 PM ET

Chance of Invasion
Today: 96 percent

Turkish parliament rejects U.S. troops. U.S. hopes Turkey will reconsider but scrambles for Plan B. Iraq destroys some banned missiles and says it will destroy more, but not if U.S. decides to attack. Iraq promises a proposal next week on ways to verify its destruction of anthrax and VX. Arab ministers fail to agree on a proposal for Saddam's exile.

Friday: 98 percent

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William Saletan is Slate's national correspondent and author of Bearing Right: How Conservatives Won the Abortion War. Follow him on Twitter here.
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