Pak ContributionThe odds of war.

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Chance of Invasion
Today: 98 percent

France says Iraqi agreement to destroy banned missiles shows inspections are working, but U.S. dismisses it as more "deception." Pakistani official says, "It seems we are considering a positive vote" for war resolution. Russia threatens to use its veto if "international stability demands it" but evacuates Russian diplomatic families from Iraq. Arab ministers reject U.S. suggestion to urge Saddam to step down.

Yesterday: 98 percent

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William Saletan is Slate's national correspondent and author of Bearing Right: How Conservatives Won the Abortion War. Follow him on Twitter here.

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