ResolvedThe odds of war.

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Chance of Invasion
Today: 98 percent

Washington Post says U.S. is telling Security Council diplomats its war decision "is already final." Blix calls new Iraqi weapons disclosures "positive," but Fleischer says they show Iraq lied and is stalling for time. Saddam says of missiles Blix told him to destroy, "We do not have missiles that go beyond the proscribed range." Mexican president urges Iraq to "immediately dismantle" the missiles. U.S. ambassador to France warns "we wouldn't look very kindly upon" a French veto of new U.N. war resolution. Haggling continues with Turkey, but deployment isn't in jeopardy. U.S. inflicts heaviest bombing in no-fly zones since November.

Yesterday: 95 percent

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William Saletan is Slate's national correspondent and author of Bearing Right: How Conservatives Won the Abortion War. Follow him on Twitter here.

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