Irritable ColinThe odds of war.

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Chance of Invasion
Today: 94

U.S. campaign for Security Council war support collapses. Saddam declares a domestic ban on WMD, as demanded by U.N. Blix and ElBaradei note Iraqi cooperation and dispute Powell's Feb. 5 indictment of Iraq. Most council members reject war and call for more inspections. No deadline is discussed. Peace spin: U.S. can't bully U.N. War spin: U.N. can't stop U.S.

Yesterday: 93 percent

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William Saletan is Slate's national correspondent and author of Bearing Right: How Conservatives Won the Abortion War. Follow him on Twitter here.

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