Slate's Bizbox
saddameter: The odds of war in Iraq.

Brake DownThe odds of war.

By William Saletan
Posted Friday, Jan. 10, 2003, at 3:31 PM ET

Chance of Invasion
Today: 62 percent

ElBaradei asks U.S. for "more actionable information" but doubts inspectors will know enough by Jan. 27 to help Security Council decide on war. U.S. backs away from January-February decision timetable; State Dept. official says, "We have to exhaust the U.N. process to get people to come through with military and other support." European Union foreign policy chief says war can't begin without clear evidence of Iraqi WMD. Saudis reportedly lead Arab talks on how to get Saddam to step down, willingly or not. Libya denies report that it might host Saddam in exile if he steps down. Peace spin: U.S. is slowing down because the war coalition is disintegrating. War spin: U.S. is slowing down to keep the war coalition from disintegrating.

Yesterday: 63 percent

Print This ArticlePRINTDiscuss this in The FrayDISCUSSEmail to a FriendE-MAIL
Share on FacebookPost to MySpace!Share with MixxDigg ThisShare with RedditShare with del.icio.usShare with FurlShare with Ma.gnolia.comShare with SphereShare with Stumble Upon
William Saletan is Slate's national correspondent and author of Bearing Right: How Conservatives Won the Abortion War.
Join the Fray: our reader discussion forum
What did you think of this article?
POST A MESSAGE | READ MESSAGES
Washington Post
The Washington Post
OPINIONS
Imagine if...
Hiatt | What if McCain had waged his campaign based on respect?
Editorial: Meddlesome PalinKing: The Danger of Palin Power