
Watching the DetectivesThe odds of war.
Updated Monday, Jan. 6, 2003, at 12:28 PM ET
Chance of Invasion
Today: 69 percent
Saddam accuses inspectors of "making lists of Iraqi scientists, [asking] questions that carry hidden agendas, giving special attention to military camps … most of which constitute purely intelligence work." Turkish foreign minister says Turkey probably won't accept many U.S. troops. New Security Council member Pakistan indicates sympathy with U.S.; Council diplomat says Germans "are indicating that they will not be an obstacle to military action if the facts … show that Saddam is cheating." New York Times reports U.S. still "has yet to fully share what intelligence it has with the inspectors." U.S. hints at amnesty for Iraqi officials who help topple Saddam. Buildup continues, but British officials estimate odds of war have fallen from 60-40 to 40-60. War spin: Saddam is cracking under the pressure. Peace spin: Not enough to stop cooperating.
Friday: 68 percent

Hitchens: Obama Should Pay More Attention to India and Less to Pakistan
Would the World Be a Better Place If We All Acted More Like Churchill?
Dubai Assumes It's Too Big To Fail. It May Be Wrong.
The Only Good Way To Get Rid of Unused Prescription Drugs
The Fancy Vodka That's Making Great Ads About the Recession
Kid Won't Shut Up? Give Him Your iPhone.











