Dead Man TalkingThe odds of war.

Chance of Invasion
Today: 66 percent

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Iraq says it will meet Blix's demand for a list of scientists linked to its WMD programs. Fleischer says Iraq's Dec. 7 report was its "last chance" to come clean. Russian officials and pundits hint Iraq's cancellation of a Russian oil deal will cost Iraq dearly when the U.N. Security Council votes on war. Peace spin: Sean Penn says Bush is toast if he goes to war. War spin: If Penn stays in Baghdad, guess who's toast.

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William Saletan is Slate's national correspondent and author of Bearing Right: How Conservatives Won the Abortion War. Follow him on Twitter here.

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