HOME / saddameter: The odds of war in Iraq.

Honey-Roasted TurkeyThe odds of war.

By William SaletanPosted Tuesday, Dec. 10, 2002, at 4:17 PM ET

Chance of Invasion
Today: 63 percent

Inspection rate increases as more inspectors arrive. Bush woos Turkish leader. Another air clash in a no-fly zone. Early reviews call Iraq's report on its weapons programs a rehash of old reports, which were deemed incomplete. Peace spin: U.S. won't use the report to justify an attack now. War spin: U.S. will use the report to justify an attack later.

Yesterday: 63 percent

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William Saletan is Slate's national correspondent and author of Bearing Right: How Conservatives Won the Abortion War. Follow him on Twitter here.
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