Hussein AsylumThe odds of war.

Chance of Invasion
Today: 51 percent

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Suspicions grow that U.S. is exaggerating its evidence against Iraq. Iraq says the report it files Saturday on its weapons programs will contain "new elements." Blix indicates it may run more than 10,000 pages, bogging down inspectors. U.S. tries to shift inspectors' focus to out-of-country interviews of Iraqi scientists, possibly without the scientists' permission, on the theory that inspectors won't know where to look unless scientists tell them. War spin: Defectors, not inspectors, have always been the best way to find Saddam's weapons. Peace spin: Great, now the U.S. is for kidnapping. U.N. will never go for it.

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William Saletan is Slate's national correspondent and author of Bearing Right: How Conservatives Won the Abortion War. Follow him on Twitter here.

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