HOME / saddameter: The odds of war in Iraq.

The SaddameterThe odds of war.

By William SaletanPosted Tuesday, Nov. 26, 2002, at 5:16 PM ET


Chance of Invasion
Today: 60 percent

Headlines: 1) Iraq again denies having any weapons of mass destruction. 2) Iraq suggests inspectors may not get the same access to ministries and "presidential sites" as to factories. Underplayed stories: 1) Blix indicates Iraq can get away with an incomplete Dec. 8 report on its WMD programs. 2) Russia's U.N. ambassador says that he believes Iraq has no WMD programs and that the Dec. 8 deadline should be extended. Peace spin: U.N. won't authorize an attack. War spin: U.S. will.

Yesterday: 58 percent

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William Saletan is Slate's national correspondent and author of Bearing Right: How Conservatives Won the Abortion War.
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