The SaddameterThe odds of war.

Chance of Invasion
Today: 58 percent

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Inspectors prepare to visit sites starting Wednesday. They plan to begin with the obvious sites and gradually pull more surprises. Their spokeswoman says they'll "test cooperation." Peace spin: They won't find a smoking gun because Iraq has become cleverer at hiding its weapons. War spin: They'll find obstruction because Iraq is still paranoid about hiding its weapons.

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William Saletan is Slate's national correspondent and author of Bearing Right: How Conservatives Won the Abortion War. Follow him on Twitter here.

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