The SaddameterThe odds of war.

Chance of Invasion
Today: 57 percent

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NATO pledges "to assist … efforts of the U.N. to ensure full and immediate compliance by Iraq" but doesn't say how. Germany's foreign minister repeats that his country "will not take part in a military strike." Focus shifts to key al-Qaida operative reported to be in U.S. custody. Peace spin: See? Fighting al-Qaida is more important than fighting Iraq. War spin: See? We can do both.

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William Saletan is Slate's national correspondent and author of Bearing Right: How Conservatives Won the Abortion War. Follow him on Twitter here.

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