Voters Now More Cynical About Democrats Than Republicans on Immigration Reform

Weigel
Reporting on Politics and Policy.
July 30 2014 10:11 AM

Voters, Cynicism, and Immigration Reform

176648776-protesters-stand-together-as-they-hold-a-protest-to-ask
(But honk twice if you're cynicial about it.)

Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images

The current immigration debate in Congress is a very small, shrunk-down version of the one that occupied much of 2013. The White House wants $3.7 billion for emergency border funds; the House GOP is ready to supply $3 billion less than that. Part of the Republican calculus: that voters increasingly blame the president's management of the border, not the inaction of Congress, for the problems in Texas and California and Arizona (and, fine, New Mexico).

Fox News' new poll seems to back them up. By a 5-point margin (45–40), voters say the child migrants from Central America are not "refugees" deserving humanitarian aid. It's a tie, 42–42, when people are asked whether they blame Obama or the conditions in Honduras, etc., for the crisis. This result, though, might be the best for the GOP:

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How do the numbers look when you limit the question to Hispanics? Well ... they still largely think that Democrats want reform in order to lock in more reliable votes.

True, by a larger margin, they also think Republicans believe they'll lose votes in the long run.

But some level of cynicism has taken hold, which is nice if you're a Republican congressman who wants to wait out the year and win some Senate seats in states where Hispanic voters won't be terrifically relevant.

David Weigel is a reporter for Bloomberg Politics

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