Poll: Democrats Still Doomed in 2014

Reporting on Politics and Policy.
May 5 2014 1:36 PM

Poll: Democrats Still Doomed in 2014

Harry Reid should enjoy being majority leader while he can.

Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

One of the challenges of covering politics in 2014 is that the midterms are turning out the way any smart kid with a map and calculator might have predicted. Republicans will win the House, because they're up in the polls and have gerrymandered dozens of swing seats into safe seats. Republicans will probably win the Senate because the key races are in red territory. Repeat, fly in to cover candidate, fly out, file expense report, repeat. 

Still, this USA Today/Pew poll is absurdly bad for Democrats. In the two months since the last poll, a period that saw good employment numbers and more than 8 million total signups on health care exchanges, the Democrats ... have fallen behind the Republicans, 47-43. Even worse is the chart USA Today mocked up:


Not to overexplain what's in there already, but that's three times in recent years that Democrats tied or led Republicans in midterm polling and went on to lose seats. The economic picture is far, far prettier than it was in 2010, yet two-thirds of voters think the economy's lousy. The percentage of people disapproving of the ACA (55 percent) is as high as ever.

David Weigel is a reporter for Bloomberg Politics



Smash and Grab

Will competitive Senate contests in Kansas and South Dakota lead to more late-breaking races in future elections?

Stop Panicking. America Is Now in Very Good Shape to Respond to the Ebola Crisis.

The 2014 Kansas City Royals Show the Value of Building a Mediocre Baseball Team

The GOP Won’t Win Any Black Votes With Its New “Willie Horton” Ad

Sleater-Kinney Was Once America’s Best Rock Band

Can it be again?


Forget Oculus Rift

This $25 cardboard box turns your phone into an incredibly fun virtual reality experience.

I Am 25. I Don’t Work at Facebook. My Doctors Want Me to Freeze My Eggs.

These Companies in Japan Are More Than 1,000 Years Old

  News & Politics
Oct. 20 2014 8:14 PM You Should Be Optimistic About Ebola Don’t panic. Here are all the signs that the U.S. is containing the disease.
Oct. 20 2014 7:23 PM Chipotle’s Magical Burrito Empire Keeps Growing, Might Be Slowing
Dear Prudence
Oct. 21 2014 9:18 AM Oh, Boy Prudie counsels a letter writer whose sister dresses her 4-year-old son in pink tutus.
  Double X
The XX Factor
Oct. 20 2014 6:17 PM I Am 25. I Don't Work at Facebook. My Doctors Want Me to Freeze My Eggs.
  Slate Plus
Tv Club
Oct. 20 2014 7:15 AM The Slate Doctor Who Podcast: Episode 9 A spoiler-filled discussion of "Flatline."
Brow Beat
Oct. 21 2014 10:41 AM Taylor Swift Just Went to No. 1 on iTunes Canada With 8 Seconds of Static 
Future Tense
Oct. 21 2014 10:43 AM Social Networking Didn’t Start at Harvard It really began at a girls’ reform school.
  Health & Science
Bad Astronomy
Oct. 21 2014 7:00 AM Watch the Moon Eat the Sun: The Partial Solar Eclipse on Thursday, Oct. 23
Sports Nut
Oct. 20 2014 5:09 PM Keepaway, on Three. Ready—Break! On his record-breaking touchdown pass, Peyton Manning couldn’t even leave the celebration to chance.