The Coming Christie Landslide in New Jersey

Weigel
Reporting on Politics and Policy.
Sept. 25 2013 9:37 AM

The Coming Christie Landslide in New Jersey

Since the end of summer, polling in New Jersey had suggested that Barbara Buono, the Democrats' sacrificial lamb, was cutting into Gov. Chris Christie's re-election lead. Not by much, mind, but enough to turn what had been a 40-point deficit into a 20-point deficit. This spring's Republican dreams of a Christie landslide that could sweep Republicans back into control of the state legislature seemed to have tempered.

Ah, and then came today's Quinnipiac poll.

New Jersey State Sen. Barbara Buono, the Democrat challenging Gov. Christopher Christie for reelection, is making no progress and trails the popular Republican 64 – 30 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters released today... Christie leads 61 – 32 percent among women and 69 – 26 percent among men, 94 – 3 percent among Republicans and 69 – 23 percent among independent voters. Democrats back Sen. Buono 60 – 35 percent.
Advertisement

More incredibly, Christie grabs 35 percent of black voters, and slices deep into every typical Democratic constituency. He's benefited from the good will spurred by Hurricane Sandy, sure, but he's managed to stretch those feelings out for 10 months, and capitalized on them by scoring Democratic endorsements; Buono has struggled to win the endorsements of unions that usually go for Democrats. When she dinged Christie for making himself the star of the "Stronger Than the Storm" campaign, a boosterish ad blitz that voters paid for, Christie accused her of making fun of his weight.

Yesterday's Quinnipiac poll, which tracked the U.S. Senate race, showed us our first separation between Christie's fate and the fate of Cory Booker. For months Christie had been crushing Buono at about the same margin that Booker was crushing former mayor/Koch organization organizer Steve Lonegan. But Booker's now leading Lonegan by a normal New Jersey Democratic margin, 12 points. Christie's paid no price whatsoever for putting Booker's race three weeks ahead of the gubernatorial race, a decision that cost the state $24 million but would keep a competitive election from sharing space on the ballot with the governor.

David Weigel is a reporter for Bloomberg Politics

TODAY IN SLATE

Culturebox

The Ebola Story

How our minds build narratives out of disaster.

The Budget Disaster That Completely Sabotaged the WHO’s Response to Ebola

PowerPoint Is the Worst, and Now It’s the Latest Way to Hack Into Your Computer

The Shooting Tragedies That Forged Canada’s Gun Politics

A Highly Unscientific Ranking of Crazy-Old German Beers

Education

Welcome to 13th Grade!

Some high schools are offering a fifth year. That’s a great idea.

Culturebox

The Actual World

“Mount Thoreau” and the naming of things in the wilderness.

Want Kids to Delay Sex? Let Planned Parenthood Teach Them Sex Ed.

Would You Trust Walmart to Provide Your Health Care? (You Should.)

  News & Politics
Politics
Oct. 22 2014 9:42 PM Landslide Landrieu Can the Louisiana Democrat use the powers of incumbency to save herself one more time?
  Business
Continuously Operating
Oct. 22 2014 2:38 PM Crack Open an Old One A highly unscientific evaluation of Germany’s oldest breweries.
  Life
Dear Prudence
Oct. 23 2014 6:00 AM Monster Kids from poorer neighborhoods keep coming to trick-or-treat in mine. Do I have to give them candy?
  Double X
The XX Factor
Oct. 22 2014 4:27 PM Three Ways Your Text Messages Change After You Get Married
  Slate Plus
Tv Club
Oct. 22 2014 5:27 PM The Slate Walking Dead Podcast A spoiler-filled discussion of Episodes 1 and 2.
  Arts
Culturebox
Oct. 22 2014 11:54 PM The Actual World “Mount Thoreau” and the naming of things in the wilderness.
  Technology
Future Tense
Oct. 22 2014 5:33 PM One More Reason Not to Use PowerPoint: It’s The Gateway for a Serious Windows Vulnerability
  Health & Science
Bad Astronomy
Oct. 23 2014 7:30 AM Our Solar System and Galaxy … Seen by an Astronaut
  Sports
Sports Nut
Oct. 20 2014 5:09 PM Keepaway, on Three. Ready—Break! On his record-breaking touchdown pass, Peyton Manning couldn’t even leave the celebration to chance.