Surge of Right-Wing Legislation in North Carolina Not Helping the GOP Win a Senate Seat, Surprisingly

Reporting on Politics and Policy.
July 17 2013 12:37 PM

Surge of Right-Wing Legislation in North Carolina Not Helping the GOP Win a Senate Seat, Surprisingly

127984563
Growing disdain for the North Carolina GOP is manna for Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan.

Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images

North Carolina-based Public Policy Polling, which is known for the frequency of its results and for the contempt it inspires in Republicans, is out with a survey of the state's 2014 U.S. Senate race. If freshman Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan loses, Republicans are probably winning the upper chamber. But PPP has Hagan's numbers increasing from the last poll—from mid/high single digits to low double digits. And the weakest candidates are state Sen. Phil Berger and Speaker of the House Thom Tillis.

Each of them is at a -20 spread, 11/31 for Berger and 12/32 for Tillis. We generally find a built in net favorability of about -10 for a politician without much name recognition so part of it's that but in March we had Berger at a -14 spread and Tillis at a -9 one so their situations have gotten much worse over the course of the legislative session.
Advertisement

The back story, conveniently, is told in other PPP polls on the state's solidly Republican legislature. It's rushing through decades' worth of conservative bills that had been put on hold when Democrats ran the state, and it's doing so in an occasionally gormless way—most recently, attaching an ominbus abortion and clinic regulation bill to a motorcycle safety bill. "Eighty percent [of voters] think it's inappropriate to combine abortion legislation with bills about motorcycle safety or Sharia Law," wrote PPP in its last poll analysis.

Washington Democrats should get déjà vu at those numbers. A major, unexpected reason for backlash against the 2010 health care law was the impression that it had been passed through legislative chicanery, that senators had been bought off for their votes, and that it had been "rammed through" without transparency. That was a reality-based critique (hey, nobody forced Barack Obama to promise that the negotiations would happen on C-SPAN), and it hurt. Democrats got their bill, but it did long-term damage to their image among the sort of voters who, when they felt like casting a protest ballot, might consider a Democrat.

Same thing in North Carolina. Hagan's problem with the national party is being counteracted by voters learning to hate their state GOP.

David Weigel is a reporter for Bloomberg Politics

TODAY IN SLATE

Politics

Talking White

Black people’s disdain for “proper English” and academic achievement is a myth.

Hong Kong’s Protesters Are Ridiculously Polite. That’s What Scares Beijing So Much.

The One Fact About Ebola That Should Calm You: It Spreads Slowly

Operation Backbone

How White Boy Rick, a legendary Detroit cocaine dealer, helped the FBI uncover brazen police corruption.

A Jaw-Dropping Political Ad Aimed at Young Women, Apparently

The XX Factor
Oct. 1 2014 4:05 PM Today in GOP Outreach to Women: You Broads Like Wedding Dresses, Right?
Music

How Even an Old Hipster Can Age Gracefully

On their new albums, Leonard Cohen, Robert Plant, and Loudon Wainwright III show three ways.

How Tattoo Parlors Became the Barber Shops of Hipster Neighborhoods

This Gargantuan Wind Farm in Wyoming Would Be the Hoover Dam of the 21st Century

Moneybox
Oct. 1 2014 8:34 AM This Gargantuan Wind Farm in Wyoming Would Be the Hoover Dam of the 21st Century To undertake a massively ambitious energy project, you don’t need the government anymore.
  News & Politics
Politics
Oct. 1 2014 7:26 PM Talking White Black people’s disdain for “proper English” and academic achievement is a myth.
  Business
Buy a Small Business
Oct. 1 2014 11:48 PM Inking the Deal Why tattoo parlors are a great small-business bet.
  Life
Outward
Oct. 1 2014 6:02 PM Facebook Relaxes Its “Real Name” Policy; Drag Queens Celebrate
  Double X
The XX Factor
Oct. 1 2014 5:11 PM Celebrity Feminist Identification Has Reached Peak Meaninglessness
  Slate Plus
Behind the Scenes
Oct. 1 2014 3:24 PM Revelry (and Business) at Mohonk Photos and highlights from Slate’s annual retreat.
  Arts
Brow Beat
Oct. 1 2014 9:39 PM Tom Cruise Dies Over and Over Again in This Edge of Tomorrow Supercut
  Technology
Future Tense
Oct. 1 2014 6:59 PM EU’s Next Digital Commissioner Thinks Keeping Nude Celeb Photos in the Cloud Is “Stupid”
  Health & Science
Science
Oct. 1 2014 4:03 PM Does the Earth Really Have a “Hum”? Yes, but probably not the one you’re thinking.
  Sports
Sports Nut
Oct. 1 2014 5:19 PM Bunt-a-Palooza! How bad was the Kansas City Royals’ bunt-all-the-time strategy in the American League wild-card game?