GOP Pollster: If the Party Doesn't Move on Hispanic, Gay Issues, We're Doomed

Weigel
Reporting on Politics and Policy.
Dec. 12 2012 11:43 AM

GOP Pollster: If the Party Doesn't Move on Hispanic, Gay Issues, We're Doomed

Resurgent Republic, the freelance conservative polling group, has released the full tabs of its post-election survey of Hispanic voters. I joined chief pollster Whit Ayres this morning as he, Norm Coleman, and the Hispanic Leadership Network's Jennifer Korn chewed over the results. Surprise -- they're terrible for Republicans.

- Hispanic voters simply don't like the GOP. Hispanic voters say the Republican Party does not respect the values and concerns of the Hispanic community by 51 to 44 percent in Florida, 54 to 40 percent in New Mexico, 59 to 35 percent in Nevada, and 63 to 30 percent in Colorado. The inherent dislike is based on the GOP's approach to immigration policy, and it prevents them from hearing out the party -- a phenomenon that Korn refers to as "immigration earmuffs."

- The Republican brand is marketedly better/worse depending on who the leading local Republican voices are. In Florida, Nevada, and New Mexico, where Hispanic Republicans are (respectively) the junior senator, governor, and governor, favorability of Republicans is anywhere from 3-2 negative to 50-50 negative-positive. In Tom Tancredo's Colorado, it's 2-1 negative.

Advertisement

- Hispanic voters are socially liberal. This was the result that raised my eyebrows the highest. Eight years ago, you'd hear Republicans promise that the Hispanic vote was coming back their way because Hispanics, largely Catholic, are basically with them on social issues. Not anymore. In three states -- Florida, Colorado, and Nevada -- around 50 percent of Hispanics said they were pro-choice. In every state, a least 60 percent of Hispanics said they favored either legal gay marriage or civil unions. The reason, said Korn, was that Hispanics skewed so young. "Republicans have to give some prayful consideration to how they speak to gay Americans," said Ayres.

The poll numbers looked far, far better for Republicans on economic issues. Ayres affected a tone of mock outrage when he revealed Hispanic preferences on taxes and spending, then their preference for Democrats as the party of "small business." There was no way around the problem but through immigration. And little solutions, like Marco Rubio's DREAM compromise, would probably not fix it. "The piecemeal approach doesn't work anymore," said Coleman.

David Weigel is a reporter for Bloomberg Politics

TODAY IN SLATE

Culturebox

The End of Pregnancy

And the inevitable rise of the artificial womb.

Doctor Tests Positive for Ebola in New York City

How a Company You’ve Never Heard of Took Control of the Entire Porn Industry

The Hot New Strategy for Desperate Democrats

Blame China for everything.

The Questions That Michael Brown’s Autopsies Can’t Answer

Foreigners

Kiev Used to Be an Easygoing Place

Now it’s descending into madness.

Technology

Don’t Just Sit There

How to be more productive during your commute.

There Has Never Been a Comic Book Character Like John Constantine

Which Came First, the Word Chicken or the Word Egg?

  News & Politics
The Slate Quiz
Oct. 24 2014 12:10 AM Play the Slate News Quiz With Jeopardy! superchampion Ken Jennings.
  Business
Moneybox
Oct. 23 2014 5:53 PM Amazon Investors Suddenly Bearish on Losing Money
  Life
Outward
Oct. 23 2014 5:08 PM Why Is an Obscure 1968 Documentary in the Opening Credits of Transparent?
  Double X
The XX Factor
Oct. 23 2014 11:33 AM Watch Little Princesses Curse for the Feminist Cause
  Slate Plus
Working
Oct. 23 2014 11:28 AM Slate’s Working Podcast: Episode 2 Transcript Read what David Plotz asked Dr. Meri Kolbrener about her workday.
  Arts
Brow Beat
Oct. 23 2014 6:55 PM A Goodfellas Actor Sued The Simpsons for Stealing His Likeness. Does He Have a Case?
  Technology
Technology
Oct. 23 2014 11:47 PM Don’t Just Sit There How to be more productive during your commute.
  Health & Science
Science
Oct. 23 2014 5:42 PM Seriously, Evolution: WTF? Why I love the most awkward, absurd, hacked-together species.
  Sports
Sports Nut
Oct. 20 2014 5:09 PM Keepaway, on Three. Ready—Break! On his record-breaking touchdown pass, Peyton Manning couldn’t even leave the celebration to chance.