Reporting on Politics and Policy.
May 4 2012 10:49 AM


The Howey/DePauw poll of Indiana's U.S. Senate race is the first locally-based study to give us a trendline. Its first poll on the race revealed that Lugar was polling lower than an incumbent should in a primary. The new poll has Lugar straight-up losing to State Treasurer Richard Mourdock.

David Weigel David Weigel

David Weigel is a reporter for Bloomberg Politics

The trend:

Mourdock - 48 (+13)
Lugar - 38 (-4)

What on earth is happening? Mourdock is in the challenger's sweet spot -- running his own positive ads while third party groups beat Lugar's brains out.



Mourdock didn't start getting traction against Lugar until he smothered him in questions about his residency. Humiliatingly, Lugar had to prove to a series of annoying elections officials and even more annoying reporters that he had a legitimate voting address in the state. It was an old-fashioned brute politics fight that enabled the Tea Party issue fight that the third party groups wanted.

David Weigel is a reporter for Bloomberg Politics

  Slate Plus
Political Gabfest
Oct. 12 2015 4:13 PM The “Turn Up Your Drawl” Bonus Segment Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz debate the influence of regionalized accents in the political arena.