Lugardammerung

Weigel
Reporting on Politics and Policy.
May 4 2012 10:49 AM

Lugardammerung

The Howey/DePauw poll of Indiana's U.S. Senate race is the first locally-based study to give us a trendline. Its first poll on the race revealed that Lugar was polling lower than an incumbent should in a primary. The new poll has Lugar straight-up losing to State Treasurer Richard Mourdock.

David Weigel David Weigel

David Weigel is a reporter for Bloomberg Politics

The trend:

Mourdock - 48 (+13)
Lugar - 38 (-4)
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What on earth is happening? Mourdock is in the challenger's sweet spot -- running his own positive ads while third party groups beat Lugar's brains out.

 

And:

Mourdock didn't start getting traction against Lugar until he smothered him in questions about his residency. Humiliatingly, Lugar had to prove to a series of annoying elections officials and even more annoying reporters that he had a legitimate voting address in the state. It was an old-fashioned brute politics fight that enabled the Tea Party issue fight that the third party groups wanted.

David Weigel is a reporter for Bloomberg Politics

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