Weigel

The new WMUR Granite State poll shows Romney in the catbird seat: A strong plurality of the vote, opponents who can't break out. The trendlines, from July.

Mitt Romney - 37% (+2)
Herman Cain - 12% (+10)
Ron Paul - 9% (+2)
Jon Huntsman - 8% (+6)
Rick Perry - 4% (+4)
Newt Gingrich - 4% (+3)
Michele Bachmann - 2% (-10)
Rick Santorum - 2% (+1)
Gary Johnson - <1% (-)
Buddy Roemer - <1% (-)

Bachmann's collapse in unsurprising, and so is Cain taking her mantle as the Tea Party. If, by some act of generosity, all of the vaguely conservative/Tea Party candidates who aren't Ron Paul dropped out, they'd be at... 20 percent.