Weigel

My new piece is all about the decline of the Tea Party anti-establishment challenge for 2012, something that became harder to ignore this week, as Jamie Radtke imploded and Jason Chaffetz ducked a race against Orrin Hatch. It makes the prediction that no Republican will lose a Tea Party primary. There's a chance that things could start going well for conservatives in Indiana, and this could get fixed. But it's nothing like 2010 -- the rage isn't there, the party establishment is tamed.

A housecleaning point I did not make in the piece -- redistricting also makes Tea Party primaries a bit less likely.