Bachmann With Narrow Lead if Palin Doesn't Run

Bachmann With Narrow Lead if Palin Doesn't Run

Bachmann With Narrow Lead if Palin Doesn't Run

Weigel
Reporting on Politics and Policy.
July 19 2011 10:39 AM

Bachmann With Narrow Lead if Palin Doesn't Run

The caveat, once again: national polls don't prove much at this stage of a campaign. Okay. With that out of the way, the new Public Policy Polling survey gives us yet more evidence of a Bachmann surge, one that suggests she's a co-frontrunner, in pure support terms, with Romney.

The numbers, with trends since June:

Michele Bachmann - 21% (+8)
Mitt Romney - 20% (+0)
Rick Perry - 16% (+16)
Herman Cain - 11% (-1)
Ron Paul - 9% (-2)
Newt Gingrich - 7% (-6)
Tim Pawlenty - 5% (-8)
Jon Huntsman - 3% (-1)
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If Sarah Palin runs, Bachmann falls to a close second -- 16 percent, with 20 percent for Romney. We don't get a Perry-less poll result, but the Pawlenty's loss is equal to half of Perry's new support. Score one for conventional wisdom: The voters looking for an anti-Romney are completely open to look at a new candidate.

David Weigel is a reporter for the Washington Post.