BREAKING NEWS: Obama Leads Republicans in Meaningless Poll

Reporting on Politics and Policy.
May 11 2011 11:40 AM

BREAKING NEWS: Obama Leads Republicans in Meaningless Poll

Reuters alerts us to their new 2012 poll.

Obama leads all possible Republican presidential candidates by double digits, the poll showed. Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney scored best against the Democratic incumbent.

David Weigel David Weigel

David Weigel, a former Slate politics reporter, is a reporter for Bloomberg Politics


The numbers are Obama up by 51-39 on Huckabee, up on Romney by 51-38, up on Pawlenty by 51-33, up on Huntsman 51-30, up on Palin 54-35, up on Daniels 51-33, up on Bachmann 54-33, up on the fading Trump 57-30. That's... actually not that impressive. Because Obama is riding high off of the killing of Osama bin Laden. And when they were riding high off of military victories, the two Georges Bush were doing much, much better. From a March 24, 1991 Newsday article about George H.W. Bush's polling after the Gulf War:

President George Bush's popularity is soaring so high that a survey by the Times Mirror Center for The People & The Press last week found that if the election were held now, he would beat Cuomo by a whopping 77 percent to 15 percent. (The poll had a margin of error of plus-or-minus 2 percentage points.)

Cuomo never ran, but the Bush bounce faded.

From a June 11, 2003 AP story about George W. Bush's polling after the Iraq victory:

When Bush is matched against an unnamed Democratic nominee or against several of the leading Democrats in the race, he holds leads ranging from 13 points against Connecticut Sen. Joe Lieberman to 15 points against an unnamed Democrat to slightly more against Missouri Rep. Dick Gephardt or Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry, according to polls released this week.

The younger Bush ended up beating Kerry, of course, but by 12 fewer points than that poll suggested. But that's 2012. The good news for Obama now is that he has a booster shot of popularity, and no polls that convince Republicans they can just hold out and expect to beat him -- that's useful for negotiations.

David Weigel, a former Slate politics reporter, is a reporter for Bloomberg Politics



Meet the New Bosses

How the Republicans would run the Senate.

The U.S. Is So, So Far Behind Europe on Clean Energy

The Government Is Giving Millions of Dollars in Electric-Car Subsidies to the Wrong Drivers

Even if You Don’t Like Batman, You Might Like Gotham

Friends Was the Last Purely Pleasurable Sitcom

The Eye

This Whimsical Driverless Car Imagines Transportation in 2059

Medical Examiner

Did America Get Fat by Drinking Diet Soda?  

A high-profile study points the finger at artificial sweeteners.

A Woman Who Escaped the Extreme Babymaking Christian Fundamentalism of Quiverfull

John Oliver Debunks the Miss America Pageant’s Claim That It Gives Out $45 Million in Scholarships

Trending News Channel
Sept. 20 2014 11:13 AM Watch Flashes of Lightning Created in a Lab  
  News & Politics
Over There
Sept. 22 2014 1:29 PM “That’s Called Jim Crow” Philip Gourevitch on America’s hypocritical interventions in Africa.
Sept. 22 2014 1:37 PM Subprime Loans Are Back! And believe it or not, that’s a good thing.
Sept. 22 2014 2:55 PM Nuptial Expert Sarkozy Worries About Gay Marriage and the Family
  Double X
The XX Factor
Sept. 22 2014 12:29 PM Escaping the Extreme Christian Fundamentalism of "Quiverfull"
  Slate Plus
Slate Plus
Sept. 22 2014 1:52 PM Tell Us What You Think About Slate Plus Help us improve our new membership program.
Brow Beat
Sept. 22 2014 3:16 PM Watch the Best Part of Beyoncé and Jay Z’s On the Run Tour
Future Tense
Sept. 22 2014 12:14 PM Family Court Rules That You Can Serve Someone With Legal Papers Over Facebook
  Health & Science
Sept. 22 2014 12:15 PM The Changing Face of Climate Change Will the leaders of the People’s Climate March now lead the movement?
Sports Nut
Sept. 18 2014 11:42 AM Grandmaster Clash One of the most amazing feats in chess history just happened, and no one noticed.