Public Policy Polling, which came off looking pretty good on Tuesday, finds Mitt Romney commanding 40 percent support in New Hampshire's 2012 GOP presidential primary. That's 27 points higher than his nearest rival, Mike Huckabee, and 8 points higher than Romney's total in the 2008 primary.
The problem: Romney's support is wide but not deep. Take the PPP results in Illinois:
There Huckabee's at 18%, Gingrich at 17%, Palin at 14%, and Romney all the way back at 12%. An interesting explanation for Romney's poor showing in Illinois is that Tim Pawlenty (7%) and Mitch Daniels (6%) register higher than they do elsewhere. The two of them are particularly strong with Romney's otherwise strong core of moderate voters, getting a total of 18% of the GOP centrist vote between the two of them.
And so some amount of the Romney vote is a generic vote for the presidential-looking Republican who came second in the primaries. There's no sense of how many Romney voters know about his Massachusetts health care plan, which was not much of an issue in 2008, so you see why no one's being scared out of the race.
TODAY IN SLATE
Don’t Worry, Obama Isn’t Sending U.S. Troops to Fight ISIS
But the next president might.
IOS 8 Comes Out Today. Do Not Put It on Your iPhone 4S.
Why Greenland’s “Dark Snow” Should Worry You
How Much Should You Loathe NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell?
Here are the facts.
Three Talented Actresses in Three Terrible New Shows
The Human Need to Find Connections in Everything
It’s the source of creativity and delusions. It can harm us more than it helps us.
- German Fraud Investigator Says Anonymous Client Will Pay $30 Million for Info on MH17 Shootdown
- A Brief Reminder That Not Everything in the World is Terrible
- How Many Countries Were Created Through Secession Votes?
- Gun-Control Group Investigates 81 People Looking for Guns Online, Finds Eight Have Criminal Records
More Than Scottish Pride
Scotland’s referendum isn’t about nationalism. It’s about a system that failed, and a new generation looking to take a chance on itself.