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Today’s “Hillary Deathwatch” Odds: 12 Percent

The Clinton campaign is starting to remind us of that immortal scene from Dumb and Dumber, in which Lloyd, played by Jim Carrey, asks his crush what the chances are that she’d marry him. She gives him blunt odds: one in 1 million. After a moment of thinking, Lloyd’s face lights up: ” So, you’re telling me there’s a chance .”

Hillary, we’re telling you there’s a chance. But right now—given the delegate count, the popular-vote tally, the failure of Florida and Michigan to secure revotes, the swing of superdelegates toward Obama since Feb. 5, and the growing itch among top Democrats to see this race wrapped up—we’d put your chances today at 12 percent.

Check back for daily updates at the ” Hillary Deathwatch .”