Obama's Entrance Poll Woes

A campaign blog.
Jan. 19 2008 3:46 PM

Obama's Entrance Poll Woes

If the entrance polls are suggestive of real votes in Nevada, Barack Obama has a big problem on his hands. Ms. Clinton, meanwhile, has reason to celebrate and wonder why all the hoopla over unions and caucus sites was necesasry. According to CNN :

  • Seventy-two percent of voters surveyed were older than 45, and they favored Clinton over Obama.
  • More female voters than male. Both genders favored Clinton over Obama, but women especially so (52 percent to 30 percent).
  • Sixty-five percent of voters say this week's debate in Nevada played into their decision, and Clinton leads among those voters by considerable margins.
  • Eighty-three percent of voters were Democrats, 52 percent of whom chose Clinton and 33 percent of whom chose Obama.
  • The silver lining for Obama is the 12 percent of voters who said they were supporting John Edwards. Reason follows that they would go to Obama as a second-choice candidate, not Hillary, because of the two candidates' change messages.
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We must caution that these are entrance polls, so they aren't the most reliable metric in the race.