Posted Saturday, Jan. 19, 2008, at 3:46 PM
If the entrance polls are suggestive of real votes in Nevada, Barack Obama has a big problem on his hands. Ms. Clinton, meanwhile, has reason to celebrate and wonder why all the hoopla over unions and caucus sites was necesasry. According to CNN :
- Seventy-two percent of voters surveyed were older than 45, and they favored Clinton over Obama.
- More female voters than male. Both genders favored Clinton over Obama, but women especially so (52 percent to 30 percent).
- Sixty-five percent of voters say this week's debate in Nevada played into their decision, and Clinton leads among those voters by considerable margins.
- Eighty-three percent of voters were Democrats, 52 percent of whom chose Clinton and 33 percent of whom chose Obama.
- The silver lining for Obama is the 12 percent of voters who said they were supporting John Edwards. Reason follows that they would go to Obama as a second-choice candidate, not Hillary, because of the two candidates' change messages.
We must caution that these are entrance polls, so they aren't the most reliable metric in the race.