The Conventional Wisdom of the Crowd

The Conventional Wisdom of the Crowd

The Conventional Wisdom of the Crowd

A campaign blog.
Jan. 3 2008 6:29 PM

The Conventional Wisdom of the Crowd

Entry to Trailhead's first-ever contest has closed. Here are the percentage breakdowns of where the candidates will finish tonight, according to Slate readers. These are the percent of readers who think the given candidate will finish first, second, or third in the caucus.

Dems
Edwards
Clinton
Obama
Biden
First
21%
16%
63%
0%
Second
32%
42%
26%
0%
Third
44%
41%
11%
4%










GOP
Giuliani
Romney
McCain
Huckabee
First
1%
35%
1%
63%
Second
0%
62%
5%
33%
Third
7%
3%
72%
3%
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(Not listed are Fred Thompson (9% of readers think he'll finish third) and Ron Paul (6% of readers think he'll finish third. Neither had any first or second place predictions.

With Chris Wilson and Jon Rubin.