Not Even Obama Seems to Think These New Russia Sanctions Will Work. So Why Are We Doing Them, Again?

The World
How It Works
April 28 2014 1:12 PM

Why Are We Sanctioning Russia if We Don’t Think It Will Work?

Vladimir Putin meets with Rosneft CEO Igor Sechin, who's targeted in the latest round of U.S. sanctions, in September 2014.

Photo by Mikhail Klimentyev/AFP/Getty Images

The White House announced today that it is imposing new targeted sanctions on seven Russian officials as well as 17 companies linked to Vladimir Putin’s “inner circle.”

Joshua Keating Joshua Keating

Joshua Keating is a staff writer at Slate focusing on international affairs and writes the World blog. 

The biggest new names on the sanctions list are Igor Sechin, a longtime Putin ally and president of the state-owned oil company Rosneft, and Dmitry Kozak, Russia’s deputy prime minister. (Another frequently discussed potential sanctions target, Gazprom CEO Aleksei Miller, apparently escaped this round.)

Will these measures prove any more effective at changing Putin’s “calculus,” as President Obama put it, than the previous round of sanctions in March? Obama himself seemed ambivalent, telling reporters, “We don’t yet know whether it is going to work,” at a press conference in the Philippines. One senior administration official was more blunt, telling the New York Times, “We don’t expect there to be an immediate change in Russian policy.”


There’s good reason to be skeptical that sanctions will deter action by a Russian government that seems to have already priced in the economic costs of its activities in Ukraine, and may have a much bolder geopolitical project in mind.

So why even bother with sanctions at all? Is it simply so that the U.S. appears to be doing something?

U.S. officials suggested in their comments today that the sanctions are a way of signaling to Putin’s inner circle that America is capable of inflicting further pain if its demands are not met, though I don’t imagine that will come as news to any of these guys.

Peter Baker of the Times suggested over the weekend that some of the sanctions could be meant to shine a harsh light on Putin’s off-the-books personal wealth, though it’s also not clear that Russian citizens really care that much about the rumors of their president’s secret dachas and offshore accounts.

The best reason for sanctioning Putin that has little to do with influencing his decisions on Ukraine may be that, as Dan Drezner argued the last time around, it will gain the U.S. some leverage for the future.

Indeed, sanctions are generally pretty bad at deterring bad behavior by hostile regimes, but the carrot of lifting sanctions has been pretty effective lately. It’s hard to believe that the U.S. could have made as much diplomatic progress as it has with countries like Iran or Myanmar if it hadn’t been able to offer sanctions relief in exchange for concessions.

The relationship between the United States and Russia has been profoundly damaged, probably for years to come, by the Ukraine crisis. Even if the U.S. may not be able to do much to influence Putin now, it's seems basically inevitable that the two superpowers will face another crisis soon and it could certainly help to have something concrete to offer Russia's most powerful people in exchange for cooperation.

Granted, in the short term, that's pretty cold comfort for Ukraine.  


Justice Ginsburg’s Crucial Dissent in the Texas Voter ID Case

The Jarring Experience of Watching White Americans Speak Frankly About Race

How Facebook’s New Feature Could Come in Handy During a Disaster

The Most Ingenious Teaching Device Ever Invented

Sprawl, Decadence, and Environmental Ruin in Nevada

View From Chicago

You Should Be Able to Sell Your Kidney

Or at least trade it for something.

Space: The Next Generation

An All-Female Mission to Mars

As a NASA guinea pig, I verified that women would be cheaper to launch than men.

Terrorism, Immigration, and Ebola Are Combining Into a Supercluster of Anxiety

The Legal Loophole That Allows Microsoft to Seize Assets and Shut Down Companies

  News & Politics
Oct. 19 2014 1:05 PM Dawn Patrol Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s critically important 5 a.m. wake-up call on voting rights.
Business Insider
Oct. 19 2014 11:40 AM Pot-Infused Halloween Candy Is a Worry in Colorado
Oct. 17 2014 5:26 PM Judge Begrudgingly Strikes Down Wyoming’s Gay Marriage Ban
  Double X
The XX Factor
Oct. 17 2014 4:23 PM A Former FBI Agent On Why It’s So Hard to Prosecute Gamergate Trolls
  Slate Plus
Slate Picks
Oct. 17 2014 1:33 PM What Happened at Slate This Week?  Senior editor David Haglund shares what intrigued him at the magazine. 
Oct. 19 2014 4:33 PM Building Family Relationships in and out of Juvenile Detention Centers
Future Tense
Oct. 17 2014 6:05 PM There Is No Better Use For Drones Than Star Wars Reenactments
  Health & Science
Space: The Next Generation
Oct. 19 2014 11:45 PM An All-Female Mission to Mars As a NASA guinea pig, I verified that women would be cheaper to launch than men.
Sports Nut
Oct. 16 2014 2:03 PM Oh What a Relief It Is How the rise of the bullpen has changed baseball.