The Slatest

Today’s Impeach-O-Meter: It Could Actually Be About to Get Much Worse

Ed Gillespie and fans in Alexandria, Virginia, on Tuesday.

Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

The Impeach-O-Meter is a wildly subjective and speculative daily estimate of the likelihood that Donald Trump leaves office before his term ends, whether by being impeached (and convicted) or by resigning under threat of same.

As so many people have pointed out that it’s not even worth citing any of them in particular, Tuesday’s Virginia gubernatorial race between Democrat Ralph Northam and Republican Ed Gillespie is a referendum on whether Trump-style cultural/racial inflammation will be the only strategy any Republican anywhere in America ever runs on. Virginia is a purple state that broke for Hillary Clinton, and Gillespie is a New Jersey native with a Respectable Establishment Republican résumé—but he’s still gone all in on such issues as saving “our” Confederate statues, complaining about NFL players (in other states, by definition) who kneel during the national anthem, and suggesting that his opponent is OK with the idea of marauding immigrant death gangs destroying our homes and defiling our spouses.

The latest polls show Northam with a slight lead, but you remember Nov. 8, 2016, just as well as I do.

Virginia polls close at 7 p.m. Eeeeeeeeeeek!

Today’s meter level is lower than yesterday’s because ONCE AGAIN the excitable night blogger has raised the meter to 60 percent during his turn writing. Relax, night blogger Elliot Hannon!