In the tradition of the Clintonometer and the Trump Apocalypse Watch, the Impeach-O-Meter is a wildly subjective and speculative daily estimate of the likelihood that Donald Trump leaves office before his term ends, whether by being impeached (and convicted) or by resigning under threat of same.
Two big-deal things happened today: 1) Trump announced that he hadn’t actually recorded his conversations with James Comey. 2) Republican senators introduced their version of an Obamacare replacement bill, which turns out to be even harsher in some respects than the House’s version.
Number one means that Trump almost certainly won’t be able to prove his claim that Comey lied about Trump’s obstruction-y comments about the FBI investigation of Michael Flynn. Number two means that the possibilty of tens of millions of Americans losing health coverage because of a bill passed on a party-line basis by Republicans just got one step closer to being a reality.
Neither event is helpful for Trump, but both were more or less expected, so we’ll only raise today’s likelihood by a few percentage points.
Photo illustration by Natalie Matthews-Ramo. Photos by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images, Win McNamee/Getty Images, Chris Kleponis-Pool/Getty Images, Drew Angerer/Getty Images, and Peter Parks-Pool/Getty Images.
